Here we go again. Another NFL season is getting ready to start up. I'm not a big fan of how the NFL has marketed itself into a year-long product. I don't like how non-sport related industries have attached themselves to the NFL. So while the NFL kicks off a season with a big music-filled celebration on Thursday, I'll likely wait until the real action kicks off over the weekend to indulge myself.
I no longer watch pregame. I no longer watch postgame. I don't pay attention during halftime or commercial breaks. I don't care for sideline reporters, talking heads or fantasy football updates. I don't need some announcer going on and on about how good the brat he just swallowed tastes or how FOX's new hour long drama is "best new show of the season". I don't want see/hear the latest reality star's take on Brett Favre's latest retirement speech. I don't want to see Ocho Cinco's most recent endzone "dance". It's all just too much nonsense for me.
All I want to see is the actual gameplay. The Xs and Os facinate me. The chess match played out with 300lb lineman and lightning fast DBs. Shifty running, lofty passes and good tackling I'll pay to watch. I'd rather watch a punter work his craft than see some of this flair they try to shovel feed me each week.
So it is with this cynicism that I produce yet another round of predictions for the NFL season. Not a heck of a lot of research went into this picks. Mostly just a gut feeling. We'll see if come next year if I still have enough interest to post picks again.
AFC WEST
1. San Diego - money in the back. A piss poor division will make a breeze. Without or without Merriman they'll win by at least 3 games and could have it wrapped up by early November.
2. Denver - really the bottom 3 could simply be lumped together but Denver probably has more pieces on offense than the other two. A brutal schedule will make it difficult to win 6 games. Must get off to a good start. Defense can't be worse or can it. I predict Orton will be a short-term solution and may not start the whole season. I've followed the Broncos for 33 years now and I fully expect this to be the worse one. The loss of Cutler makes me sick to my stomach. You don't give up on franchise QBs that easy.
3. Oakland - Russell ain't the answer and Davis has lost his marbles.
4. Kansas City - Is Cassell the next Scott Mitchell? Did you say you can't remember Mitchell. EXACTLY!
AFC CENTRAL
1. Pittsburgh - Hard to pick against the defending champs. They've got all the pieces in place for a repeat. They are still young and have great coaching.
2. Baltimore - QB will probably a few bumps along the way but the defense will keep them in every game.
3. Cincinnati - Carson Palmer better stay healthy. Not much else going on here.
4. Cleveland - How long will the latest Browns coach last. Will the starting QB make it to game 2? Can this team ever live up to expectations even if they are low.
AFC SOUTH
1. Tennessee - I'm a huge Jeff Fischer supporter. I think he's the most underappreciated coach in the league. He won't match last season's win total but they play tough. Better keep that old QB healthy though.
2. Indianapolis - I'm not ready to count this team out just yet. A new coach will mean a slight adjustment but with Manning, Adai and sound OL, they'll be fine. Key as always will be defense.
3. Houston - Can't seem to get over that hump. This year might be different but they'll need to be dominant at home and win at least one against Indy.
4. Jacksonville - Team has fallen a lot and will probably fall farther before coming back up.
AFC EAST
1. New England - Don't be fooled by Miami's division title. That was a fluke. New England will return to the top with Brady at the helm. Still plenty of talent to compete for at least another season.
2. New York Jets - Give them second place by default since I think Miami tumbles back to earth. With Sanchez starting a QB it'll be difficult to get much consistency but a lot of other pieces are in place. Where are the WRs?
3. Miami - Parcells must be thrilled with how quickly the team turned it around but will he be patient enough to deal with a setback. QB questions will always be there until they find someone to take the reigns from Pennington.
4. Buffalo - Another team with potential QB issues. Owens might be wanting out before the season is over.
NFC WEST
1. Seattle - It might not take much to win this division so I'm going to go with a suprise pick in Seattle. A resurgent defense will lead the way.
2. Arizona - Warner won't last the whole season and Leinhart won't be up to task of taking over. With more teams gunning for them they'll find the going difficult.
3. St. Louis - Mired in a deep rebuilding process with an aging/fragile QB, problems on defense, a young OL and diminishing talent at WR. All they can hope for is baby steps forward.
4. San Francisco - I think they've got the right coach but there aren't enough playmakers on either side of the ball. Wouldn't shock me to see them play 4 QBs this season.
NFC NORTH
1. Chicago - The trendy pick is probably Minnesota but I think Chicago had the better QB upgrade. Cutler will lose a couple but he'll win more. The big question mark may be who'll step up at WR.
2. Minnesota - At least they didn't have to give up anything to get Favre. But anything less than a Super Bowl appearance is going to make that experiment a failure. With so much focus on Favre, can he find a way to share the spotlight with the true franchise player, Adrian Peterson. Will Brett retire again if he throws another 20 picks.
3. Green Bay - How much do you think this team wants to beat Favre? I'm guessing they pull that off but come up short against a lot of other opponents.
4. Detroit - I thought 0-16 should have recinded their charter. Is 2-14 a successful season? How long till hockey season starts?
NFC SOUTH
1. Atlanta - Could it be? Two winning seasons in a row for the first time in franchise history. YES! Certainly helps that the rest of the division appears headed downward. There is a lot to like about this young team. If they could find some defense they could be a Super Bowl contender.
2. New Orleans - So much talent on offense. So little on defense.
3. Carolina - Where's their QB of the future. A nice two-headed running attack and a good coach but injuries are already mounting. Age is creeping up as well.
4. Tampa Bay - Maybe Gruden got the best gift when he was let go. A huge group of QBs and not a decent backup in the bunch. No playmakers to speak of. Leadership is gone or going.
AFC EAST
1. New York Giants - I like Philly but think the Giants outlast them in a fight to the wire due to more consistency from the QB position. They'll need to find WRs to carry the load.
2. Philadelphia - Will McNabb play well with Vick in the background. Can Westbrook stay healthy the whole season. The answers to those questions mean the difference between a Super Bowl contender and 3rd place division finish.
3. Dallas - Ever year them seem to disappoint. So, I'll pick against them this year. If they get off to a slow start, look for Jerry Jones to call Mike Shanahan and offer him the gig.
4. Washington - Clinton Portis can only do so much. Jason Campell's best option might be a fresh start. Dan Snyder might try to beat Jerry Jones to the punch and call Shanahan next week.
AFC WILDCARDs
Baltimore
Indianapolis
NFC WILDCARDs
Minnesota
Philadelphia
AFC ROUND 1
New England over Indianapolis
Baltimore over Tennessee
NFC ROUND 1
Atlanta over Philadelphia
Minnesota over Seattle
AFC ROUND 2
Pittsburgh over Baltimore
San Diego over New England
NFC ROUND 2
Chicago over Minnesota
New York Gians over Atlanta
AFC CHAMPIONSHIP
Pittsburgh over San Diego
NFC CHAMPIONSHIP
New York Gians over Chicago
SUPER BOWL
Pittsburgh over New York Giants
No exactly the matchup I want to see or the outcome but I do think Pittsburgh has all the pieces in place to repeat.
