We know bid ado to the Stars and Flyers as they head to the golf course and make way for what should be a very entertaining Stanley Cup final. First, a review of the last rounds' predictions.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
PITTSBURGH #2 vs PHILADELPHIA #6
PREDICTION : Pittsburgh in 7 - Confidence 80%
RESULT : Pittsburgh in 5
Good observation : "Philly has played better with each series and has a shot at pulling off a monumental upset if they can continue to improve. For as well as they've played, they'll have to play even better to get by the Penguins. " - This and many of my other statements were spot on. Philly never managed to establish much momentum in the series and was beat by a stronger team.
Bad observation : "The wildcard with the Pens is on defense and especially in net. While both units have played more than adequate up to this point, they'll now be facing a more formidable offensive foe." - Except for game 5 Philly's offense didn't find much flow and never put much pressure on the Pittsburgh defense that was strong and stready. I probably should have predicted a shorted series but I thought Pittsburgh's defense would face a bit more of challenge.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
DETROIT #1 vs DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - Confidence 80%
RESULT : Detroit in 6
Good observation: "I see them as notch better in just about every area. Detroit has more depth and talent on the defensive end. The have more depth and talent on the offensive end. They've got the edge on the power play and the edge in the penalty kill. Babcock is the better coach. " - I think we saw all this play out in the series. Detroit simply had too much talent for Dallas to matchup against consistently night after night. Zetterberg and Datsyuk killed the Stars and Detroits penalty killing prowess erased any Dallas advantage.
Bad observation : Any observation about the "Mule" while perhaps accurate was pretty much moot as the Mule didn't play at all in the series.
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Winners in both series. Exact number of games in the Detroit series
A hypothetical bet of $100 per confidence point at 1:1 odds :
Bet : 80 + 80
Return : 160 + 160
Profit : 160
Rate of return : 160/160 = 100%
Playoffs
Bet : 960
Return : 1330
Profit : 350
Rate of return : 36.5%
Maybe I should quit my day job and become a full-time hockey gambler. Are there any summer leagues or Southern hemisphere leagues I can track after the finals?
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