Another round is complete. Really an odd round in that 3 of the 4 matchups saw one team race out to a 3-0 lead. I thought maybe one of the teams would overcome the 3-0 deficit but that scenario came to a screeching halt after a 4 OT marathon in Dallas. There was one dominating sweep, a couple of upsets but no major drama.Reviewing my picks from Round 1:
MONTREAL #1 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6
PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
RESULT - Philadelphia in 5
Good observation : "I want to pick one upset in this round and this is the one. Not a hell of a lot of logic to the pick, just a little gut instinct." - Usually trusting my gut over my brain gets me into big trouble. Not this time.
Bad observation : "I expect a back and forth series with several momentum turners." - Montreal never captured any significant momentum in the series and Philly just kept responding when called upon.
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5
PREDICTION : Pittsburgh in 7 - CONFIDENCE 75%
Result - Pittsburgh in 5
Good observation : "I'm going to go with Pittsburgh because I think the Malkin line will give the Rangers fits and the frustration will lead to some powerplay opportunities the Penguins convert. Hossa will be a big factor and finally lose the playoff disappointment label. Lundqvist will stand on his head at times but it simply won't be enough. When it's over both teams will shake hands and the better team will move on." - Malkin scores 2 big goals in game 3 which essentially ices the series and Hossa gets 2 goals including the series clincher in OT in game 5. Lundqvist did well but not well enough to offense Pittsburgh's talent. With the exception of the following, just about about all my observations on this series were pretty good.
Bad observation : "I think this series has got the makings of a classic". - The Rangers blew a chance for this series to be a classic when the blew a 3-0 lead in game 1.
DETROIT #1 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 80%
Result - Detroit in 4
Good observation(s)
1. "If Cleary or Samuelsson get in on the scoring, the series will be over quick." - Samuelsson scores 2 in game 4 and the Wings sweep.
2. "Colorado will be walking a fine line. A lot is invested in keeping Forsberg and Foote in the lineup because without them they are toast." - Can I have some jam with my toast?
3. "Theodore must play even better against Detroit than against Minnesota because he is certain to face much more pressure." - He didn't play better and look what happened. Has a starting goalie ever been pulled 3 times in a 4 game series?
Bad observation: "Detroit in 6" - I should have had more confidence in what was truly a mismatch. Colorado had been playing over their heads for weeks. Once they faced some real competition they wilted.
SAN JOSE #2 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 80%
Result - Dallas in 5
Good observation: "San Jose can look scary good at times. The problem is they have long lapses where they simply look ordinary. They cannot afford to continue to play inconsistently against the Stars" - San Jose played inconsistent and dug themselves a hole which they couldn't overcome against a solid team.
Bad observation: "San Jose just has too many pieces for Dallas to handle" - Dallas can match up with anybody. Time and time again hardworking consistent play has beaten out top-talent in Stanley Cup playoff history.
---------------------------------
Winners in 3 of 4. Only the San Jose - Dallas contest played out much differently than I expected. But that series was pretty evenly matched and probably could have gone the other way had Dallas not captured the first two games in the Shark Tank.
A hypothetical bet of $100 per confidence point at 1:1 odds :
Bet : 55 + 75 + 80 + 80 = 290
Return : 110 + 150 + 80 + 0 = 340
Profit : 50
Rate of return : 50 /290 = 17.2%
Playoffs
Bet : 820
Return : 1010
Profit : 190
Rate of return : 23.2%
Time to find a bookie. Screw the 401-K and 529. I'm putting everything on Thrashers to win the cup next year.
Monday, May 5, 2008
De Soto Falls Hike
Time for my next hike, this one in the De Soto Falls recreation area in North Georgia. I picked out a short hike for this trip as I had a busy schedule this particular Sunday. Part of the adventure is this particular trip was just getting there.
When I got within a few miles of my final destination, I encountered a roadblock. Someone had been seriously injured/killed on the road ahead and cops were redirecting traffic. The problem was I didn't know an alternate route to my destination. My iPhone came to the rescue. With the aid of the iPhone and Google maps I was able to find a way around the closed section of road.
I found my first turn with little problem and managed to find the next as well but then things got a bit tricky. At a fork in the road I continued straight since this best matched the map. Unfortunately, the road quickly narrowed into a single lane dirt road with plenty rough patches. I stuck it out for a bit being careful to navigate the rough spots in my low clearance car. I couldn't help but think that I wasn't too many miles from where Deliverance was filmed.
I started to think I was on a long driveway and not on a road. Since I noticed someone behind me, I pulled over a bit at an opening and they assured me I was on the right route. Another 1/2 mile of rough road and I was back on the main highway.
The hike was pretty easy, very "kid-friendly" next to a decent campground. The nice falls at the end of the hikes make for a great reward. The hike splits into two separate paths. One trail leads to the middle falls and one to the lower falls. Both paths follow a nice stream and are well maintained with even a couple benches thrown in for resting. The hike to the upper falls was the easier of the two and only 3/4 mile in length. The hike to the lower falls is less than 1/2 mile but a little steeper. I did the whole thing in just about an hour including the stops at both ends.
Here's a view of the middle falls:
Here's a view of the lower falls:
Crimson's Sports Banquet
Last Monday was the annual sports banquet held at Crimson's school. For each sport, pins are awarded for participation and awards are presented to the Most Valuable Player, Most Improved and Best Sportmanship.
Crimson participated in 4 sports (Volleyball, Basektball, Soccer and Cheerleading) and won the Best Sportsmanship award in 3 of the 4. She took home a boatload of hardware:
Thursday, April 24, 2008
NHL Playoff Predictions - Round 2
EASTERN CONFERENCE
MONTREAL #1 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6
PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
I want to pick one upset in this round and this is the one. Not a hell of a lot of logic to the pick, just a little gut instinct.
Montreal had their problems against Boston on both the offense and defensive ends of the ice but I'm guessing they get a more consistent effort in round 2 after getting the first round under their belts. Their power play floundered but Philly will likely give them plenty of opportunities to work through it. I expect Montreal to come out flying and try to expose Philly's somewhat shallow defense. A top-level performance out of Biron early will be a key to keeping this series close. Montreal will almost certainly have a couple of lop-sided wins in the contest. The main question will be how the Flyers respond.
The Flyers will look to intimidate in any way possible. Hard checking and disciplined hockey will have to be the norm even more so than in the Capitals series. Getting bodies in front of the young Habs goalie and getting the ugly goals will keep the series close. The power play must continue its high level of performance, a task that'll be much more difficult against the more disciplined Canadiens who play quite well on the penalty kill.
I expect a back and forth series with several momentum turners. The pressure is all on Montreal this series and if the Flyers can pull out a win in Montreal, the young Habs just might cave. Like most series, goaltending will be key. Which Price will show up?
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5
PREDICTION : Pittsburgh in 7 - CONFIDENCE 75%
I think this series has got the makings of a classic. Two up and coming teams loaded with old and new stars. One team with a very good offense and another team with sound defense and excellent goaltending. Neither team has a glaring weakness and each weakness is a strength on the opposing roster. Which team is ready to rise to the occasion and take the next step. The Penguins are almost certain to find themselves in this round for years to come. The Rangers could be at a crossroad with Jagr, Shanahan and defensemen without contracts beyond this season. Will that add extra motivation for the Rangers?
The Penguins are a threat to score with just about every offensive possession. Players like Crosby, Malkin, Hossa, Gonchar make it difficult enough 5 on 5. The Rangers cannot afford to make in 5 on 4. That means a player like Avery will have to control himself. Stupid penalties could be the difference in this series.
The Rangers will play it close to the vest, trying to get the Penguins to play a slow-tempo, hard-hitting affair. A 2-1 game is a much better formula for Ranger success than 5-4 because the Rangers have had difficulties scoring throughout much of the season. The Rangers will need timely goals and they've certainly got the crew for that with Shanahan, Jagr, Gomez and Drury leading the way. But if the Penguins can control that group (notice I didn't say stop), the Rangers will be stressed to find secondary scoring. Fluery needs to handle Avery in front of the net but he can't do it alone. His defense will have to do its work to make sure he isn't a factor.
I think we'll see some close contests and the OTs the Rangers missed in the first round. Will the usual scorers show up in OT or will new legends be born.
I'm going to go with Pittsburgh because I think the Malkin line will give the Rangers fits and the frustration will lead to some powerplay opportunities the Penguins convert. Hossa will be a big factor and finally lose the playoff disappointment label. Lundqvist will stand on his head at times but it simply won't be enough. When it's over both teams will shake hands and the better team will move on.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
DETROIT #1 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 80%
It's turn back the clock time. Forsberg, Sakic, Foote, McCarty, Maltby, Osgood, Lidstrom, Chelios. Screw all that. This is 2008 and I'm not interested in the past. The reality of the situation is that these are distinctly different teams from their last playoff series many moons ago.
Colorado might be trying to relive the past but the Wings have moved on. Fresh blood abounds in Detroit where players like Zetterberg, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen and others are looking to make their own mark on Red Wings hockey history.
Detroit is the better defensive team. From the forwards on back they play sound defensive hockey. There were times during the Nashville series where they simply couldn't get the puck past the blueline or get a shot on goal for LONG stretches. The only thing that kept Nashville in the series was a couple mental lapses by an aging Hasek and outstanding goaltending by Ellis. With Osgood taking over in net, they don't have to worry as much. His mind doesn't wander and neither do his legs. The Wings defense feels more confident playing in front of him because they know what to expect. Osgood's all-star season was no fluke. He's been playing his best hockey the last 3-4 years.
Detroit can roll four forward lines and Foote can't be out there for all of them. Look for Babcock to consider splitting up Zetterberg and Datsyuk at some point in the series to exploit the matchup problems it creates. The fourth line played extremely well in the Nashville series and I don't see why that can't continue. If Cleary or Samuelsson get in on the scoring, the series will be over quick. Hudler seems to be coming into his own this post season.
Colorado will be walking a fine line. A lot is invested in keeping Forsberg and Foote in the lineup because without them they are toast. The Wings will recognize this and come after them hard, something Minnesota failed to do for some reason. Stasny cannot afford to have another insignificant series. Theodore must play even better against Detroit than against Minnesota because he's is certain to face much more pressure.
Colorado has done well to make it to this point but I don't think they can play much better. Detroit can play better than they did in round 1. Detroit is leaps and bounds better than Minnesota, especially on the offensive end. Colorado's best chance would be to get to Osgood early and make Babcock put Hasek back in. From there, who knows what'll happen.
SAN JOSE #2 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 80%
San Jose can look scary good at times. The problem is they have long lapses where they simply look ordinary. They cannot afford to continue to play inconsistently against the Stars. San Jose can roll four hardworking lines but at times they struggle to get secondary scoring. The city of San Jose is excited about hosting another playoff round but in the backs of their minds and the backs of the player minds are past failures in getting beyond the second round. They have the pieces in place it is simply a matter of execution and discipline.
Meanwhile, the pressure is off the Stars. They've managed to beat one of the teams many had picked to win the cup and the did it in fairly decisive fashion. An opportunistic team that plays well with the lead as is backed by solid goaltending. Its a team full of role players but few superstars. The Stars best chance is for Turco to play his best, get Zubov healthy and get big performances out of Robiero (sp?), Richards and even Modano. Stealing a game in the Shark tank early would be huge.
San Jose just has too many pieces for Dallas to handle. They've got more offensive power than the Ducks and play a physical yet disciplined game. The key for them is to get their big stars (Thorton, Marleau) involved in the contest and to stay focused throughout the series.
MONTREAL #1 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6
PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
I want to pick one upset in this round and this is the one. Not a hell of a lot of logic to the pick, just a little gut instinct.
Montreal had their problems against Boston on both the offense and defensive ends of the ice but I'm guessing they get a more consistent effort in round 2 after getting the first round under their belts. Their power play floundered but Philly will likely give them plenty of opportunities to work through it. I expect Montreal to come out flying and try to expose Philly's somewhat shallow defense. A top-level performance out of Biron early will be a key to keeping this series close. Montreal will almost certainly have a couple of lop-sided wins in the contest. The main question will be how the Flyers respond.
The Flyers will look to intimidate in any way possible. Hard checking and disciplined hockey will have to be the norm even more so than in the Capitals series. Getting bodies in front of the young Habs goalie and getting the ugly goals will keep the series close. The power play must continue its high level of performance, a task that'll be much more difficult against the more disciplined Canadiens who play quite well on the penalty kill.
I expect a back and forth series with several momentum turners. The pressure is all on Montreal this series and if the Flyers can pull out a win in Montreal, the young Habs just might cave. Like most series, goaltending will be key. Which Price will show up?
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5
PREDICTION : Pittsburgh in 7 - CONFIDENCE 75%
I think this series has got the makings of a classic. Two up and coming teams loaded with old and new stars. One team with a very good offense and another team with sound defense and excellent goaltending. Neither team has a glaring weakness and each weakness is a strength on the opposing roster. Which team is ready to rise to the occasion and take the next step. The Penguins are almost certain to find themselves in this round for years to come. The Rangers could be at a crossroad with Jagr, Shanahan and defensemen without contracts beyond this season. Will that add extra motivation for the Rangers?
The Penguins are a threat to score with just about every offensive possession. Players like Crosby, Malkin, Hossa, Gonchar make it difficult enough 5 on 5. The Rangers cannot afford to make in 5 on 4. That means a player like Avery will have to control himself. Stupid penalties could be the difference in this series.
The Rangers will play it close to the vest, trying to get the Penguins to play a slow-tempo, hard-hitting affair. A 2-1 game is a much better formula for Ranger success than 5-4 because the Rangers have had difficulties scoring throughout much of the season. The Rangers will need timely goals and they've certainly got the crew for that with Shanahan, Jagr, Gomez and Drury leading the way. But if the Penguins can control that group (notice I didn't say stop), the Rangers will be stressed to find secondary scoring. Fluery needs to handle Avery in front of the net but he can't do it alone. His defense will have to do its work to make sure he isn't a factor.
I think we'll see some close contests and the OTs the Rangers missed in the first round. Will the usual scorers show up in OT or will new legends be born.
I'm going to go with Pittsburgh because I think the Malkin line will give the Rangers fits and the frustration will lead to some powerplay opportunities the Penguins convert. Hossa will be a big factor and finally lose the playoff disappointment label. Lundqvist will stand on his head at times but it simply won't be enough. When it's over both teams will shake hands and the better team will move on.
WESTERN CONFERENCE
DETROIT #1 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 80%
It's turn back the clock time. Forsberg, Sakic, Foote, McCarty, Maltby, Osgood, Lidstrom, Chelios. Screw all that. This is 2008 and I'm not interested in the past. The reality of the situation is that these are distinctly different teams from their last playoff series many moons ago.
Colorado might be trying to relive the past but the Wings have moved on. Fresh blood abounds in Detroit where players like Zetterberg, Datsyuk, Kronwall, Franzen and others are looking to make their own mark on Red Wings hockey history.
Detroit is the better defensive team. From the forwards on back they play sound defensive hockey. There were times during the Nashville series where they simply couldn't get the puck past the blueline or get a shot on goal for LONG stretches. The only thing that kept Nashville in the series was a couple mental lapses by an aging Hasek and outstanding goaltending by Ellis. With Osgood taking over in net, they don't have to worry as much. His mind doesn't wander and neither do his legs. The Wings defense feels more confident playing in front of him because they know what to expect. Osgood's all-star season was no fluke. He's been playing his best hockey the last 3-4 years.
Detroit can roll four forward lines and Foote can't be out there for all of them. Look for Babcock to consider splitting up Zetterberg and Datsyuk at some point in the series to exploit the matchup problems it creates. The fourth line played extremely well in the Nashville series and I don't see why that can't continue. If Cleary or Samuelsson get in on the scoring, the series will be over quick. Hudler seems to be coming into his own this post season.
Colorado will be walking a fine line. A lot is invested in keeping Forsberg and Foote in the lineup because without them they are toast. The Wings will recognize this and come after them hard, something Minnesota failed to do for some reason. Stasny cannot afford to have another insignificant series. Theodore must play even better against Detroit than against Minnesota because he's is certain to face much more pressure.
Colorado has done well to make it to this point but I don't think they can play much better. Detroit can play better than they did in round 1. Detroit is leaps and bounds better than Minnesota, especially on the offensive end. Colorado's best chance would be to get to Osgood early and make Babcock put Hasek back in. From there, who knows what'll happen.
SAN JOSE #2 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 80%
San Jose can look scary good at times. The problem is they have long lapses where they simply look ordinary. They cannot afford to continue to play inconsistently against the Stars. San Jose can roll four hardworking lines but at times they struggle to get secondary scoring. The city of San Jose is excited about hosting another playoff round but in the backs of their minds and the backs of the player minds are past failures in getting beyond the second round. They have the pieces in place it is simply a matter of execution and discipline.
Meanwhile, the pressure is off the Stars. They've managed to beat one of the teams many had picked to win the cup and the did it in fairly decisive fashion. An opportunistic team that plays well with the lead as is backed by solid goaltending. Its a team full of role players but few superstars. The Stars best chance is for Turco to play his best, get Zubov healthy and get big performances out of Robiero (sp?), Richards and even Modano. Stealing a game in the Shark tank early would be huge.
San Jose just has too many pieces for Dallas to handle. They've got more offensive power than the Ducks and play a physical yet disciplined game. The key for them is to get their big stars (Thorton, Marleau) involved in the contest and to stay focused throughout the series.
NHL Playoff Predictions - Round 1 Review
Whew. The first round is finally over and the Wings have advanced. First round always seems to be the most challenging as teams have to adjust a bit to a new level of play and intensity. Plus, top teams have to deal with the added pressure of meeting lofty expectations. I think that is why you see some significant upsets in round 1 and this year was no different.
Reviewing my picks from Round 1:
MONTREAL #1 vs. BOSTON #8 PREDICTION : Montreal in 6 - CONFIDENCE 90%
FINAL RESULT : Montreal in 7
Good observation : "Logic tells me Montreal will win it in 5 but give Boston an extra win for their heart and hometown fans." - Should have given Boston another win for the heart.
Bad observation : "They (Montreal) are fantastic on the power play" - Montreal struggled on the power play almost costing them the series.
--
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. OTTAWA #7 PREDICTION : Pittsburgh in 5 - CONFIDENCE 85%
FINAL RESULT : Pittsburgh in 4
Good observation : "A tale of two teams headed in different directions" - Those directions continue much to the dismay of the Sens.
Bad observation : None - I was spot on in this series except that Ottawa couldn't muster a single win.
--
WASHINGTON #3 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6 PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 6 - CONFIDENCE 75%
FINAL RESULT : Philadelphia in 7
Good observation : "The real question is does Washington have enough to make it to the next level. My answer is not yet...the Caps simply aren't seasoned for playoff play" - They are now officially seasoned for next year.
Bad observation : None - spot on again albeit off by a game.
--
NEW JERSEY #4 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5 PREDICTION : New York in 7 - CONFIDENCE 60%
FINAL RESULT : New York in 5
Good observation : "the Devils don't have much scoring outside Parise and Gionta and that'll be the difference in the series" - this problem got even more magnified as New York found a way to get to Broduer.
Bad observation : "I think we'll see at least 2 overtime games in the series and it wouldn't shock me if we see 4 or more" - No OT in the series. Pretty embarrassing performance by the Devils.
--
DETROIT #1 vs. NASHVILLE #8 PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
FINAL RESULT : Detroit in 6
Good observation : "However, Hasek has been a bit sketchy lately and I've got to wonder if Osgood might be the better choice... Babcock shouldn't hesitate to turn to Osgood if Hasek suddenly can't perform" - Babcock made the right move at the right time. Hasek deserved to have his shot and now Osgood gets his.
Bad observation : "I have a feeling Hasek will be just fine as this is the time he's been waiting for" - Note to self, trust what you see, not what you "feel".
--
SAN JOSE #2 vs. CALGARY #7 PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
FINAL RESULT : San Jose in 7
Good observation : "This may be one of the most entertaining series to watch." - it was certainly worth staying up late to catch the intensity, speed and drama of this series.
Bad observation : "Goals aren't going to come easy " - games were much higher scoring than I thought. San Jose's 4th goal in game 7 caused a Keenan meltdown that might take Calgary awhile to overcome.
--
MINNESOTA #3 vs. COLORADO #6 PREDICTION : Minnesota in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
FINAL RESULT : Colorado in 6
Good observation : "Expect a lot of low scoring games and a few OTs in this series" - How about 3 OT games and 2 one goal games.
Bad observation : "Above all else they (Minnesota) are a sound defensive team" - not sound enough in this series.
--
ANAHEIM #4 vs. DALLAS #5 PREDICTION : Anaheim in 5 - CONFIDENCE 80%
FINAL RESULT : Dallas in 6
Good observation : "The Ducks need to play that patient game and stay out of the penalty box. Pronger cannot continue his cheap-ass tactics or he'll find himself watching from the press box while his teams hopes fade for another cup run." - Ducks never recovered from the penalties that cost them games 1 & 2. Pronger didn't watch from the press box but he did watch the end of the series from the penalty box!
Bad observation : "The Ducks have been playing better down the stretch and Dallas has gotten worse. This doesn't bode well for the Stars." - Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
-----------------------------------------
I picked winners in 6 of 8 series. One of the two I got wrong (Avs vs Wild) had my lowest confidence rating so that wasn't a bit surprise. Only the Ducks-Stars outcome really threw me for a loop.
Taking the confidence factor into account:
A hypothetical bet of $100 per confidence point at 1:1 odds :
Bet : 90 + 85 + 75 + 60 + 85 + 55 + 80 = 530
Return : 180 + 170 + 150 + 170 + 0 + 0 = 670
Profit : 140
Rate of return : 140 / 530 = 26.4%
I'd take a 26.4% return on my money any day, especially now. Of course it'd be pretty tough to find 1:1 odds on all those series unless you can find a homer who'll always bet his team even up regardless of odds.
Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results. But if you are looking for some betting tips, stay tuned for the next installment.
Reviewing my picks from Round 1:
MONTREAL #1 vs. BOSTON #8 PREDICTION : Montreal in 6 - CONFIDENCE 90%
FINAL RESULT : Montreal in 7
Good observation : "Logic tells me Montreal will win it in 5 but give Boston an extra win for their heart and hometown fans." - Should have given Boston another win for the heart.
Bad observation : "They (Montreal) are fantastic on the power play" - Montreal struggled on the power play almost costing them the series.
--
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. OTTAWA #7 PREDICTION : Pittsburgh in 5 - CONFIDENCE 85%
FINAL RESULT : Pittsburgh in 4
Good observation : "A tale of two teams headed in different directions" - Those directions continue much to the dismay of the Sens.
Bad observation : None - I was spot on in this series except that Ottawa couldn't muster a single win.
--
WASHINGTON #3 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6 PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 6 - CONFIDENCE 75%
FINAL RESULT : Philadelphia in 7
Good observation : "The real question is does Washington have enough to make it to the next level. My answer is not yet...the Caps simply aren't seasoned for playoff play" - They are now officially seasoned for next year.
Bad observation : None - spot on again albeit off by a game.
--
NEW JERSEY #4 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5 PREDICTION : New York in 7 - CONFIDENCE 60%
FINAL RESULT : New York in 5
Good observation : "the Devils don't have much scoring outside Parise and Gionta and that'll be the difference in the series" - this problem got even more magnified as New York found a way to get to Broduer.
Bad observation : "I think we'll see at least 2 overtime games in the series and it wouldn't shock me if we see 4 or more" - No OT in the series. Pretty embarrassing performance by the Devils.
--
DETROIT #1 vs. NASHVILLE #8 PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
FINAL RESULT : Detroit in 6
Good observation : "However, Hasek has been a bit sketchy lately and I've got to wonder if Osgood might be the better choice... Babcock shouldn't hesitate to turn to Osgood if Hasek suddenly can't perform" - Babcock made the right move at the right time. Hasek deserved to have his shot and now Osgood gets his.
Bad observation : "I have a feeling Hasek will be just fine as this is the time he's been waiting for" - Note to self, trust what you see, not what you "feel".
--
SAN JOSE #2 vs. CALGARY #7 PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
FINAL RESULT : San Jose in 7
Good observation : "This may be one of the most entertaining series to watch." - it was certainly worth staying up late to catch the intensity, speed and drama of this series.
Bad observation : "Goals aren't going to come easy " - games were much higher scoring than I thought. San Jose's 4th goal in game 7 caused a Keenan meltdown that might take Calgary awhile to overcome.
--
MINNESOTA #3 vs. COLORADO #6 PREDICTION : Minnesota in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
FINAL RESULT : Colorado in 6
Good observation : "Expect a lot of low scoring games and a few OTs in this series" - How about 3 OT games and 2 one goal games.
Bad observation : "Above all else they (Minnesota) are a sound defensive team" - not sound enough in this series.
--
ANAHEIM #4 vs. DALLAS #5 PREDICTION : Anaheim in 5 - CONFIDENCE 80%
FINAL RESULT : Dallas in 6
Good observation : "The Ducks need to play that patient game and stay out of the penalty box. Pronger cannot continue his cheap-ass tactics or he'll find himself watching from the press box while his teams hopes fade for another cup run." - Ducks never recovered from the penalties that cost them games 1 & 2. Pronger didn't watch from the press box but he did watch the end of the series from the penalty box!
Bad observation : "The Ducks have been playing better down the stretch and Dallas has gotten worse. This doesn't bode well for the Stars." - Past performance is no guarantee of future results.
-----------------------------------------
I picked winners in 6 of 8 series. One of the two I got wrong (Avs vs Wild) had my lowest confidence rating so that wasn't a bit surprise. Only the Ducks-Stars outcome really threw me for a loop.
Taking the confidence factor into account:
A hypothetical bet of $100 per confidence point at 1:1 odds :
Bet : 90 + 85 + 75 + 60 + 85 + 55 + 80 = 530
Return : 180 + 170 + 150 + 170 + 0 + 0 = 670
Profit : 140
Rate of return : 140 / 530 = 26.4%
I'd take a 26.4% return on my money any day, especially now. Of course it'd be pretty tough to find 1:1 odds on all those series unless you can find a homer who'll always bet his team even up regardless of odds.
Of course, past performance is no guarantee of future results. But if you are looking for some betting tips, stay tuned for the next installment.
Monday, April 21, 2008
Cowback Mountain Hike
After literally years of thinking about it, I finally decided I'd take advantage of some great hiking in my "backyard". Half inspired by numerous hikes in Yosemite last spring and half inspired to find another way to get outside exercise, I bought a nice guidebook to hiking in North Georgia. There we lots of good suggestions in the book with many hikes within 2 hours of my house.
I picked the Cowback Mountain from Hogpen Gap hike because it was relatively close, 2 hours long and moderately difficult. I had originally intended to go the previous weekend but scuttled that plan at the last minute when forecast called for showers, cold and wind. Although I had the gear to handle the inclement weather, I didn't want to start off with a hike that would keep me from doing it again. This weekend the weather was perfect with highs in the mid 60s, a nice cool breeze and mostly sunny skies.
I loaded up the iPod with music and hit the road "early" Sunday. The directions in the book were great and I had no trouble finding the trail head. Overall the hike was 3.6 miles long and took about 2 1/2 hours round trip. Although from end to end it was only a 800 foot climb, numerous ups and downs made for a challenging hike. To my surprise there were numerous other people on the trail. I ran into about a dozen other hikers ranging from day hikers like myself to ones who'd been on the trail for weeks. The hike on was just one small section of the Appalachian Trail that stretches from Georgia to Maine.
I took a couple pictures along the route. The first offers a view of my destination.
The second is a view from atop the mountain. I was delighted to see a cairn (rock pile) upon my arrival at the top since they'd been such a prominent feature on my Iceland trip.
I picked the Cowback Mountain from Hogpen Gap hike because it was relatively close, 2 hours long and moderately difficult. I had originally intended to go the previous weekend but scuttled that plan at the last minute when forecast called for showers, cold and wind. Although I had the gear to handle the inclement weather, I didn't want to start off with a hike that would keep me from doing it again. This weekend the weather was perfect with highs in the mid 60s, a nice cool breeze and mostly sunny skies.
I loaded up the iPod with music and hit the road "early" Sunday. The directions in the book were great and I had no trouble finding the trail head. Overall the hike was 3.6 miles long and took about 2 1/2 hours round trip. Although from end to end it was only a 800 foot climb, numerous ups and downs made for a challenging hike. To my surprise there were numerous other people on the trail. I ran into about a dozen other hikers ranging from day hikers like myself to ones who'd been on the trail for weeks. The hike on was just one small section of the Appalachian Trail that stretches from Georgia to Maine.
I took a couple pictures along the route. The first offers a view of my destination.
The second is a view from atop the mountain. I was delighted to see a cairn (rock pile) upon my arrival at the top since they'd been such a prominent feature on my Iceland trip.
Pictures were a little bland because most of the area is just starting to bloom. All in all I'd have to consider the hike a success and I'll certainly be headed out for more soon. My biggest surprise from this trip was the sunburn I received on the ride home with top down.
Master Bathroom - Complete
The work has been done for a couple weeks. Just now getting around to uploading the final picture. The project took a great deal of time, mostly because the multiple layers of wallpaper were a bit of a pain. I learned a bunch, mostly that I need to be patient when removing wallpaper. Although I've spend hours cleaning up drywall dust, there is still more grit to remove. I'm pausing a bit to tackle other tasks before beginning similar work on Crimson's bathroom.
Thursday, April 10, 2008
NHL Playoff Predictions - Round 1 - West
DETROIT #1 vs. NASHVILLE #8
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
As a Wings fan, I'm pretty happy about this matchup. It isn't that I think Nashville will be a pushover. In fact, I think it will be a very difficult series. What I am thrilled about is Nashville is short plane ride from Detroit and road games will be start around 7PM my time instead of 10PM. You may be asking yourself, why is travel time such a big deal? Consider this. Last year the Wings had matchups with Calgary, San Jose and Edmonton. That's a lot of miles. It is especially significant when compared against teams from the East. For example, the New York Rangers could have travel plans involving New Jersey (bus ride), Philadelphia (bus ride) and Pittsburgh (short flight) all within the same time zone. Plus, those 10PM starts are brutal for me. One year the Wings played a triple overtime game against the Ducks. That game didn't end until almost 3AM. Makes it a bit tough to get up for work and actually think. If the Wings are going to reach the finals, there is going to be some travel involved. However, the less the better.
Detroit has a had a weird season jumping out to such a huge lead on the division and conference before faltering a bit during an 11 game stretch where they had injuries to their top 4 defensemen. They haven't had a significant game since early January. The players admitted that this has made it hard to stay focused for each contest. However, I think they have still played excellent hockey overall. During the course of the entire season they only had about 4 poorly played games. Its a huge credit to coach Babcock and the leadership on this team that they play hard every night.
The Wings have a solid defensive corp that stacks up with any unit in the league. The main reason Hasek and Osgood had such good GAA is because the defense in front of them allows very few shots and scoring chances. Looks like Stuart will return to the lineup making the defense even better. He brings a physical presence the Wings will definitely need in the coming weeks. Lidstrom and Kronwall both are threats to end up on the scoring sheet.
Up front the Wings have multiple scoring options. Beyond the superstars in Zetterberg and Datsyuk, they've got Holmstrom, Holmstrom II (Franzen), Hudler, Cleary, Filpulla who can all score. They are a few concerns about injuries but most appear to be getting healthy as the playoffs begin. Almost all the forwards are excellent on defense and the team has the best faceoff percentage in the league.
To all the critics who say the Wings are too old or too soft, I say you need to take a fresh look. This isn't the 2003 Wings any more. The age statistic is more than a bit skewed by the presence of Chelios (#6 defenseman), Drake (4th line) and Hasek. Their two superstars up front are still young and they've got an even younger crew coming into their own. Softness was the first thing Babcock addressed after losing out to Edmonton in his first season and he's done quite well. People may not know players like the "mule" (Franzen), Cleary or Samuelson but they are extremely hard works and aren't afraid to fight for the pucks or get a little "dirty".
The Wings have a deeper squad than any team in the playoffs. They can role 4 good lines without concern. Should injuries occur, there are tested players in waiting set to fill the holes. Many of the players who'll be healthy scratches would be playing on other rosters. Their backup goalie may actually be the better goalie this season.
Speaking of goaltending, that may just be the critical piece to the Wings success. Even with limited shots, the Wings goalies are going to have to perform well to succeed. Babcock appears set to got with Hasek for the duration and it is hard to blame him given Hasek's past playoff performances. However, Hasek has been a bit sketchy lately and I've got wonder if Osgood might be the better choice. Hasek is a fierce competitor and wouldn't accept the backup role quietly so it is certainly easier to go with him first. But Babcock shouldn't hesitate to turn to Osgood if Hasek suddenly can't perform. I have a feeling Hasek will be just fine as this is the time he's been waiting for.
Oh, there is another team scheduled to be on the ice. Nashville has done an amazing job dealing with the overhaul of their roster in the last year. They should be commended for actually making in into the playoffs. They play very sound, disciplined hockey and have excellent coaching and a lot of hard-working, gritty players. They'll be best served to be extremely patient with the Wings and hope to cash in on the few miscues the Wings allow. Any chance of staging an upset rests with their ability to shutdown Zetterberg and Datysuk while getting superb goaltending. A fast start and a game 1 victory might be their only hope. They'll play the Wings tougher than expected but come up short because the Wings have much more depth and better secondary scoring.
SAN JOSE #2 vs. CALGARY #7
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
At the time of this writing, the first game in this series has been played and Calgary won it 3-2. The results of that game do not change my prediction or my analysis even if they do bode well for Calgary.
This may be one of the most entertaining series to watch. Its got everything that makes hockey fun to watch. You've got offensive stars with Calgary's Iginla and San Jose's Joe Thorton. You've hard hitting punishing checkers led by Calgary's Dion Phaneuf. Both teams feature superb workhorse goaltending with Kiprosoff and Nabakov. The men behind the bench, Keenan & Wilson, are among the more experienced in the NHL. You've got two clubs that have seriously underperformed in the last few playoff years with fans ready to get ugly if things don't turn out well. This is especially true in San Jose where a quick exit could result in Wilson getting fired despite several successful regular seasons and a well developed roster.
The intensity here should be amazing and game one didn't disappoint. Goals aren't going to come easy and neither team is going to go down easy. The goalie who performs best may just dictate the outcome as Kiprosoff did in game 1.
Where I think San Jose will prevail is scoring depth. Calgary doesn't have the secondary scoring that San Jose can roll. Adding defenseman Campbell at the trade deadline should give the Sharks an added dimension on the back end. Any chance Campbell has of sticking around San Jose for the long haul will depend on a successful playoff run.
Anything less than an appearance in the Stanley Cup finals will be seen as a disappointment in San Jose. That is tough expectations and one only two other teams face (Anaheim & Detroit). But both those teams have already won the cup in recent years and know what it takes to get over the hump. The journey begins with a tough matchup for San Jose and it won't get any easier. It should be a fun ride to watch.
MINNESOTA #3 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Minnesota in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
As of this writing, game 1 in the series has been played with Colorado winning 3-2 in overtime. Certainly an outcome that was no surprise to me.
I haven't seen many of Minnesota games this season but I know their reputation. Above all else they are a sound defensive team. The play a style of hockey very similar to the neutral zone trap crap that New Jersey play to success for so many years. It makes for an extremely boring watch as scoring chances are minimized and 2-1 and 3-2 games are the norm. Minnesota tries to balance their defense with some timely scoring from skilled players like Gaborik. Along Gaborik has been given some additional freedom to be creative this year, he doesn't wander far from the Wild's defensive roots.
Colorado plays opportunistic hockey taking advantage of skill offensive playmakers and relying on strong goaltending over defense. This has been a problem at times for them this season as playmakers have been injured or their goalies have struggled. However, goaltending has been much stronger lately as Theodore has refound the form that made him successful years ago in Montreal and it is about time as he was being paid a bundle to ride the bench until this season. With Sakic, Stasny and a healthy Forsberg (for now) Colorado certainly has a chance to pull the Minny upset but I think Minnesota's boring approach will get them to the second round. Expect a lot of low scoring games and a few OTs in this series. Colorado biggest advantage may be their crew of timely goal scorers. Sakic, Smyth, Forsberg and even Foote have been know get a goal when it is most needed. How many will they produce in this round?
ANAHEIM #4 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : Anaheim in 5 - CONFIDENCE 80%
I could tell you to look at my description for the New Jersey / New York Rangers series as there are a bunch of similarities. Both teams are centered around defense first and I expect we'll see a lot of low scoring affairs and a couple OTs. However, I think this series will have a little bit more excitement because both teams have more potential to open it up a bit as well as be a bit more physical. The goaltending isn't up to the level of their Eastern counterpart but it's no slouch.
A big issue in this series will be a couple key injuries. Zubov's continuing problems are a huge issue for Dallas who desperate needs his contributions on both ends to have much of a chance. Ducks have their own issues up front with injuries and need to find consistent secondary scoring.
The monster trade that was supposed to help Dallas up front hasn't had much affect. Richards must find a way to contribute or Dallas's journey will be short. Turco must continue to carry the load for Dallas and be spectacular in the series to advance. The Ducks have been playing better down the stretch and Dallas has gotten worse. This doesn't bode well for the Stars.
The Ducks need to play that patient game and stay out of the penalty box. Pronger cannot continue his cheap-ass tactics or he'll find himself watching from the press box while his teams hopes fade for another cup run.
CONCLUSION
I guess I'd be a remissed if I didn't offer up a Stanley Cup winner before the whole thing begins. I went with Detroit over Ottawa preseason and I'll stick with Detroit. They are improved at most positions over last season. I really can't go with Ottawa any more. I'll go with Penguins out of the East, another team that would make for a great finals. I like the makeup of their team and I'm simply not sold on Price in Montreal or that the Rangers can score consistently enough to advance far.
I like to pick a couple "dark horses" as well. I don't think the Rangers qualify as a Dark Horse in the East despite being the #5 seed. I'll go with Philly in the East and Calgary in the West (Kiprosoff becomes superhuman). These two teams are serious longshots consider the road they'll likely have to follow but they do have a lot of the tools necessary.
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
As a Wings fan, I'm pretty happy about this matchup. It isn't that I think Nashville will be a pushover. In fact, I think it will be a very difficult series. What I am thrilled about is Nashville is short plane ride from Detroit and road games will be start around 7PM my time instead of 10PM. You may be asking yourself, why is travel time such a big deal? Consider this. Last year the Wings had matchups with Calgary, San Jose and Edmonton. That's a lot of miles. It is especially significant when compared against teams from the East. For example, the New York Rangers could have travel plans involving New Jersey (bus ride), Philadelphia (bus ride) and Pittsburgh (short flight) all within the same time zone. Plus, those 10PM starts are brutal for me. One year the Wings played a triple overtime game against the Ducks. That game didn't end until almost 3AM. Makes it a bit tough to get up for work and actually think. If the Wings are going to reach the finals, there is going to be some travel involved. However, the less the better.
Detroit has a had a weird season jumping out to such a huge lead on the division and conference before faltering a bit during an 11 game stretch where they had injuries to their top 4 defensemen. They haven't had a significant game since early January. The players admitted that this has made it hard to stay focused for each contest. However, I think they have still played excellent hockey overall. During the course of the entire season they only had about 4 poorly played games. Its a huge credit to coach Babcock and the leadership on this team that they play hard every night.
The Wings have a solid defensive corp that stacks up with any unit in the league. The main reason Hasek and Osgood had such good GAA is because the defense in front of them allows very few shots and scoring chances. Looks like Stuart will return to the lineup making the defense even better. He brings a physical presence the Wings will definitely need in the coming weeks. Lidstrom and Kronwall both are threats to end up on the scoring sheet.
Up front the Wings have multiple scoring options. Beyond the superstars in Zetterberg and Datsyuk, they've got Holmstrom, Holmstrom II (Franzen), Hudler, Cleary, Filpulla who can all score. They are a few concerns about injuries but most appear to be getting healthy as the playoffs begin. Almost all the forwards are excellent on defense and the team has the best faceoff percentage in the league.
To all the critics who say the Wings are too old or too soft, I say you need to take a fresh look. This isn't the 2003 Wings any more. The age statistic is more than a bit skewed by the presence of Chelios (#6 defenseman), Drake (4th line) and Hasek. Their two superstars up front are still young and they've got an even younger crew coming into their own. Softness was the first thing Babcock addressed after losing out to Edmonton in his first season and he's done quite well. People may not know players like the "mule" (Franzen), Cleary or Samuelson but they are extremely hard works and aren't afraid to fight for the pucks or get a little "dirty".
The Wings have a deeper squad than any team in the playoffs. They can role 4 good lines without concern. Should injuries occur, there are tested players in waiting set to fill the holes. Many of the players who'll be healthy scratches would be playing on other rosters. Their backup goalie may actually be the better goalie this season.
Speaking of goaltending, that may just be the critical piece to the Wings success. Even with limited shots, the Wings goalies are going to have to perform well to succeed. Babcock appears set to got with Hasek for the duration and it is hard to blame him given Hasek's past playoff performances. However, Hasek has been a bit sketchy lately and I've got wonder if Osgood might be the better choice. Hasek is a fierce competitor and wouldn't accept the backup role quietly so it is certainly easier to go with him first. But Babcock shouldn't hesitate to turn to Osgood if Hasek suddenly can't perform. I have a feeling Hasek will be just fine as this is the time he's been waiting for.
Oh, there is another team scheduled to be on the ice. Nashville has done an amazing job dealing with the overhaul of their roster in the last year. They should be commended for actually making in into the playoffs. They play very sound, disciplined hockey and have excellent coaching and a lot of hard-working, gritty players. They'll be best served to be extremely patient with the Wings and hope to cash in on the few miscues the Wings allow. Any chance of staging an upset rests with their ability to shutdown Zetterberg and Datysuk while getting superb goaltending. A fast start and a game 1 victory might be their only hope. They'll play the Wings tougher than expected but come up short because the Wings have much more depth and better secondary scoring.
SAN JOSE #2 vs. CALGARY #7
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
At the time of this writing, the first game in this series has been played and Calgary won it 3-2. The results of that game do not change my prediction or my analysis even if they do bode well for Calgary.
This may be one of the most entertaining series to watch. Its got everything that makes hockey fun to watch. You've got offensive stars with Calgary's Iginla and San Jose's Joe Thorton. You've hard hitting punishing checkers led by Calgary's Dion Phaneuf. Both teams feature superb workhorse goaltending with Kiprosoff and Nabakov. The men behind the bench, Keenan & Wilson, are among the more experienced in the NHL. You've got two clubs that have seriously underperformed in the last few playoff years with fans ready to get ugly if things don't turn out well. This is especially true in San Jose where a quick exit could result in Wilson getting fired despite several successful regular seasons and a well developed roster.
The intensity here should be amazing and game one didn't disappoint. Goals aren't going to come easy and neither team is going to go down easy. The goalie who performs best may just dictate the outcome as Kiprosoff did in game 1.
Where I think San Jose will prevail is scoring depth. Calgary doesn't have the secondary scoring that San Jose can roll. Adding defenseman Campbell at the trade deadline should give the Sharks an added dimension on the back end. Any chance Campbell has of sticking around San Jose for the long haul will depend on a successful playoff run.
Anything less than an appearance in the Stanley Cup finals will be seen as a disappointment in San Jose. That is tough expectations and one only two other teams face (Anaheim & Detroit). But both those teams have already won the cup in recent years and know what it takes to get over the hump. The journey begins with a tough matchup for San Jose and it won't get any easier. It should be a fun ride to watch.
MINNESOTA #3 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Minnesota in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
As of this writing, game 1 in the series has been played with Colorado winning 3-2 in overtime. Certainly an outcome that was no surprise to me.
I haven't seen many of Minnesota games this season but I know their reputation. Above all else they are a sound defensive team. The play a style of hockey very similar to the neutral zone trap crap that New Jersey play to success for so many years. It makes for an extremely boring watch as scoring chances are minimized and 2-1 and 3-2 games are the norm. Minnesota tries to balance their defense with some timely scoring from skilled players like Gaborik. Along Gaborik has been given some additional freedom to be creative this year, he doesn't wander far from the Wild's defensive roots.
Colorado plays opportunistic hockey taking advantage of skill offensive playmakers and relying on strong goaltending over defense. This has been a problem at times for them this season as playmakers have been injured or their goalies have struggled. However, goaltending has been much stronger lately as Theodore has refound the form that made him successful years ago in Montreal and it is about time as he was being paid a bundle to ride the bench until this season. With Sakic, Stasny and a healthy Forsberg (for now) Colorado certainly has a chance to pull the Minny upset but I think Minnesota's boring approach will get them to the second round. Expect a lot of low scoring games and a few OTs in this series. Colorado biggest advantage may be their crew of timely goal scorers. Sakic, Smyth, Forsberg and even Foote have been know get a goal when it is most needed. How many will they produce in this round?
ANAHEIM #4 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : Anaheim in 5 - CONFIDENCE 80%
I could tell you to look at my description for the New Jersey / New York Rangers series as there are a bunch of similarities. Both teams are centered around defense first and I expect we'll see a lot of low scoring affairs and a couple OTs. However, I think this series will have a little bit more excitement because both teams have more potential to open it up a bit as well as be a bit more physical. The goaltending isn't up to the level of their Eastern counterpart but it's no slouch.
A big issue in this series will be a couple key injuries. Zubov's continuing problems are a huge issue for Dallas who desperate needs his contributions on both ends to have much of a chance. Ducks have their own issues up front with injuries and need to find consistent secondary scoring.
The monster trade that was supposed to help Dallas up front hasn't had much affect. Richards must find a way to contribute or Dallas's journey will be short. Turco must continue to carry the load for Dallas and be spectacular in the series to advance. The Ducks have been playing better down the stretch and Dallas has gotten worse. This doesn't bode well for the Stars.
The Ducks need to play that patient game and stay out of the penalty box. Pronger cannot continue his cheap-ass tactics or he'll find himself watching from the press box while his teams hopes fade for another cup run.
CONCLUSION
I guess I'd be a remissed if I didn't offer up a Stanley Cup winner before the whole thing begins. I went with Detroit over Ottawa preseason and I'll stick with Detroit. They are improved at most positions over last season. I really can't go with Ottawa any more. I'll go with Penguins out of the East, another team that would make for a great finals. I like the makeup of their team and I'm simply not sold on Price in Montreal or that the Rangers can score consistently enough to advance far.
I like to pick a couple "dark horses" as well. I don't think the Rangers qualify as a Dark Horse in the East despite being the #5 seed. I'll go with Philly in the East and Calgary in the West (Kiprosoff becomes superhuman). These two teams are serious longshots consider the road they'll likely have to follow but they do have a lot of the tools necessary.
Wednesday, April 9, 2008
NHL Playoff Predictions - Round 1
Another NHL season has come to conclusion. While the league had a ton of drama heading into the final weak of the season, the two teams I root for, Atlanta & Detroit haven't played a meaningful game in months. That's all about to change, at least for Detroit, as the second season begins!
Because there wasn't much drama in Atlanta or Detroit, I found myself watching a lot more hockey involving other teams this season. The only teams I didn't catch a lot of were the teams way out West that seem to have 80% of their games end around 1AM my time. But I already know those teams fairly well as the Wings have tussled with them in recent playoffs.
For history buffs (6 months is consider ancient history on the Internet), I did make preseason predictions. A lot of those were spot on. My prediction for the finals (Detroit-Ottawa) look a little shaky but a lot of the team-by-team were pretty good.
I'll start with Eastern Conference which features a ton young offense stars, an original six matchup, a bunch of penguins and a chicken.
Note about CONFIDENCE : This is represents how confident I feel that I've predicted the series winner, not the number of games. I'll be using this to score my predictions after the round is complete.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
MONTREAL #1 vs. BOSTON #8
PREDICTION : Montreal in 6 - CONFIDENCE 90%
Nothing quite like an original six matchup. Two teams with a storied history matching up for the upteenth time in playoff history. A bit of the luster is off this matchup as both the Boston Garden and Montreal Forum (orignal) are no longer the venues but the diehard fans remain and it should create a fantastic atmosphere.
Montreal completely fooled me in that I never thought they'd get so high so quick They did it by simply playing the most consistent hockey among a bunch on inconsistent teams in the Eastern Conference. A good combination of skilled offensive players and steady defenders in front of young up and coming goaltender. They are fantastic on the power play and Boston would be well served to play a patient game.
Boston has overperformed a bit this season and the fact that they made the playoffs has to be considered a success. If this team was in the Eastern Conference, they'd be playing golf or changing diapers at this point. The only way they steal the series is if they get superb goaltending out of Tim Thomas and somehow rattle Montreal's young goalkeeper, Price.
Logic tells me Montreal will win it in 5 but give Boston an extra win for their heart and hometown fans.
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. OTTAWA #7
PREDICTION : Pittsburg in 5 - CONFIDENCE 85%
A tale of two teams headed in different directions. Honestly, I would have preferred a Pittsburgh-Washington or a Pittsburgh-Philadelphia matchup but this one has a bit of intrigue as well.
Ottawa seemed destined to return to the cup finals at the start of the season. Even as late as mid-January, they looked like a serious competitor. Heatley gets hurt and the team struggles. Heatley returns and the team continues to struggle. The coach gets fired and the team struggles. Goalies bitch and the team struggles. All the while, the players are unconfortably quiet. Only a second to last game beating of providence rivals Toronto keeps the team from falling from the playoffs altogether.
Ottawa has a ton of talent on its roster but just can seem to get it back together. From the outside it looks like are lacking in the leadership department. While Alfredsson is the unquestioned leader on the ice, it doesn't seem like anyone else fills the secondary leadership roles very well. Originally, I though a couple of wins could turn their season back around and make them a real threat in the playoffs. But that never happened and I don't think it'll suddenly happen in the first round.
On the other hand, their opponent appears sets for a long playoff run. Talent abounds on the playoff roster with some of the best skilled players in the game up front in Malkin, Crosby and Hossa. They also got plenty of good role players and couple who can lend a physical presence. However, their key to an extended run has to lie with their goaltending. Fleury is the starter and appears to have bounced back well from the injury that sidelined him for a long stretch. But they can't hesitate to turn over the reigns to Conklin who rescued the team once before.
Any chance Ottawa has depends on them getting off to a fast start and putting up some goals early. Breakdown the confidence of Fleury and make the Penguins turn to Conklin. Rattle Conklin as well and the series could turn. Ottawa might be wise to oepn things up a bit. Play some up tempo hockey. It might sound like the kiss of death against the likes of Crosby and Malkin but I don't think the Pens would expect it or be ready to adjust.
WASHINGTON #3 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6
PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 6 - CONFIDENCE 75%
It seems odd to even type that. Washington went from the bottom of the conference in January all the way up to the #3 seed and Carolina ended up kicked to the curb even though I think Carolina was a better team than Boston and would have had a better chance against Philly. However you look at it though, Washington deserved to be here. Their great play down the stretch was the most consistent in the Eastern Conference and Ovechkin showed everybody why he should be considered the best scorer in the NHL.
The real question is does Washington have enough to make it to the next level. My answer is not yet. Although Washington does have a few playoff veterans, they are few and far between. Much like Pittsburgh last season, the Caps simply are seasoned for playoff play. Even their coach is a relative newcomer to the NHL playoffs and he may find that the motivation and coaching he's been providing won't fair as well against the playoff clubs as it did against the likes of Atlanta, Florida and Tampa Bay.
Philly has been a puzzle. At times they've look like serious contenders and other times they've look closer to last years version. I'm thinking the reality is somewhere in between but they'll have to play more consistent if they hope to make it to the second round. Defense and secondary scoring appear to be their Achille's heel and that is somewhat expected considering how many young guys they are trotting out there on a nightly basis. The big-money free agents are going to have to come up big to give the Flyers a chance and I'm thinking they'll do an adequate job.
Washington's best chance is much like Ottawa's. Shake up Philly's goaltending. Biron doesn't even have to perform poorly. Just get a couple goals past him early due to defensive miscues and the entire organization and fans may go into panic mode. Get the Flyers to turn to Nittimaki and the Caps will win the series. Just a whif of a goaltending controversy will Flyers fans running scared like Rocky from Clubber Lane. I pity the fools.
Flyers need to play this game tight and don't get into a shooting contest. Be patient and wait for their chances. Above all else, contain the Chicken. Let another player score, if necessary. Just don't let Ovie find the twine.
NEW JERSEY #4 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5
PREDICTION : New York in 7 - CONFIDENCE 60%
Is there a way both teams can lose? I can't stand either of these teams. Now that New York plays almost the same boring style the Devils have played for years, I like them even less. This is not the contest you tell your hockey newbie fan to watch. Expect a lot of low scoring games with little back and forth action but some great goaltending. I think we'll see at least 2 overtime games in the series and it wouldn't shock me if we same 4 or more. These teams both play it very close to the vest, play sound defense and have coaches who preach defensive responsibility above all else.
The Rangers have been a tough team to predict during the course of the season. For every two good showings, they'd have one bad one. Although Lundqvist has looked superb most to the season, he had one really bad stretch. They can score 4 or 5 goals one night, then go 6 or 7 games scoring 2 or less. Defense can be sound and then allow Montreal to stage a record comeback. Which team will show up for the series?
The Devils always seem to be in this position. Everyone seems ready to write them off and they put themselves into contention for the cup once again. Management has a way off putting together a collection of no-names and making them play great as a unit. As always, Brodeur is there to save the day in goal when things break down.
New York went out in the offseason and got two players to boost the offense up front. Although Gomez and Drury were nothing special in the regular season, this should be their time to shine. I also believe Jagr will finally wake up as he realizes this just might be his last cup run. In contrast, the Devils don't have much scoring outside Parise and Gionta and that'll be the difference in the series. Expect Drury to score at least one game winner for his highlight reel.
If this game goes to a 7th contest. I want to personally smack the first guy who asks Mr. Messier if he has a prediction.
Next up is the Western Conference. Matchups feature the President's Trophy winner (Detroit), defending Stanley Cup champion (Anaheim) and the hottest team in hockey (San Jose). It might not have the offensive star power of the East but it makes up for it with superb defense, experienced goaltending and physical intimidating play. I don't think there is much doubt that the best teams are in the West. The question is will they beat each other up so much and travel so much that they've got little left for the finals.
DETROIT #1 vs. NASHVILLE #8
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
SAN JOSE #2 vs. CALGARY #7
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
MINNESOTA #3 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Minnesota in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
ANAHEIM #4 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : Anaheim in 5 - CONFIDENCE 80%
Because there wasn't much drama in Atlanta or Detroit, I found myself watching a lot more hockey involving other teams this season. The only teams I didn't catch a lot of were the teams way out West that seem to have 80% of their games end around 1AM my time. But I already know those teams fairly well as the Wings have tussled with them in recent playoffs.
For history buffs (6 months is consider ancient history on the Internet), I did make preseason predictions. A lot of those were spot on. My prediction for the finals (Detroit-Ottawa) look a little shaky but a lot of the team-by-team were pretty good.
I'll start with Eastern Conference which features a ton young offense stars, an original six matchup, a bunch of penguins and a chicken.
Note about CONFIDENCE : This is represents how confident I feel that I've predicted the series winner, not the number of games. I'll be using this to score my predictions after the round is complete.
EASTERN CONFERENCE
MONTREAL #1 vs. BOSTON #8
PREDICTION : Montreal in 6 - CONFIDENCE 90%
Nothing quite like an original six matchup. Two teams with a storied history matching up for the upteenth time in playoff history. A bit of the luster is off this matchup as both the Boston Garden and Montreal Forum (orignal) are no longer the venues but the diehard fans remain and it should create a fantastic atmosphere.
Montreal completely fooled me in that I never thought they'd get so high so quick They did it by simply playing the most consistent hockey among a bunch on inconsistent teams in the Eastern Conference. A good combination of skilled offensive players and steady defenders in front of young up and coming goaltender. They are fantastic on the power play and Boston would be well served to play a patient game.
Boston has overperformed a bit this season and the fact that they made the playoffs has to be considered a success. If this team was in the Eastern Conference, they'd be playing golf or changing diapers at this point. The only way they steal the series is if they get superb goaltending out of Tim Thomas and somehow rattle Montreal's young goalkeeper, Price.
Logic tells me Montreal will win it in 5 but give Boston an extra win for their heart and hometown fans.
PITTSBURGH #2 vs. OTTAWA #7
PREDICTION : Pittsburg in 5 - CONFIDENCE 85%
A tale of two teams headed in different directions. Honestly, I would have preferred a Pittsburgh-Washington or a Pittsburgh-Philadelphia matchup but this one has a bit of intrigue as well.
Ottawa seemed destined to return to the cup finals at the start of the season. Even as late as mid-January, they looked like a serious competitor. Heatley gets hurt and the team struggles. Heatley returns and the team continues to struggle. The coach gets fired and the team struggles. Goalies bitch and the team struggles. All the while, the players are unconfortably quiet. Only a second to last game beating of providence rivals Toronto keeps the team from falling from the playoffs altogether.
Ottawa has a ton of talent on its roster but just can seem to get it back together. From the outside it looks like are lacking in the leadership department. While Alfredsson is the unquestioned leader on the ice, it doesn't seem like anyone else fills the secondary leadership roles very well. Originally, I though a couple of wins could turn their season back around and make them a real threat in the playoffs. But that never happened and I don't think it'll suddenly happen in the first round.
On the other hand, their opponent appears sets for a long playoff run. Talent abounds on the playoff roster with some of the best skilled players in the game up front in Malkin, Crosby and Hossa. They also got plenty of good role players and couple who can lend a physical presence. However, their key to an extended run has to lie with their goaltending. Fleury is the starter and appears to have bounced back well from the injury that sidelined him for a long stretch. But they can't hesitate to turn over the reigns to Conklin who rescued the team once before.
Any chance Ottawa has depends on them getting off to a fast start and putting up some goals early. Breakdown the confidence of Fleury and make the Penguins turn to Conklin. Rattle Conklin as well and the series could turn. Ottawa might be wise to oepn things up a bit. Play some up tempo hockey. It might sound like the kiss of death against the likes of Crosby and Malkin but I don't think the Pens would expect it or be ready to adjust.
WASHINGTON #3 vs. PHILADELPHIA #6
PREDICTION : Philadelphia in 6 - CONFIDENCE 75%
It seems odd to even type that. Washington went from the bottom of the conference in January all the way up to the #3 seed and Carolina ended up kicked to the curb even though I think Carolina was a better team than Boston and would have had a better chance against Philly. However you look at it though, Washington deserved to be here. Their great play down the stretch was the most consistent in the Eastern Conference and Ovechkin showed everybody why he should be considered the best scorer in the NHL.
The real question is does Washington have enough to make it to the next level. My answer is not yet. Although Washington does have a few playoff veterans, they are few and far between. Much like Pittsburgh last season, the Caps simply are seasoned for playoff play. Even their coach is a relative newcomer to the NHL playoffs and he may find that the motivation and coaching he's been providing won't fair as well against the playoff clubs as it did against the likes of Atlanta, Florida and Tampa Bay.
Philly has been a puzzle. At times they've look like serious contenders and other times they've look closer to last years version. I'm thinking the reality is somewhere in between but they'll have to play more consistent if they hope to make it to the second round. Defense and secondary scoring appear to be their Achille's heel and that is somewhat expected considering how many young guys they are trotting out there on a nightly basis. The big-money free agents are going to have to come up big to give the Flyers a chance and I'm thinking they'll do an adequate job.
Washington's best chance is much like Ottawa's. Shake up Philly's goaltending. Biron doesn't even have to perform poorly. Just get a couple goals past him early due to defensive miscues and the entire organization and fans may go into panic mode. Get the Flyers to turn to Nittimaki and the Caps will win the series. Just a whif of a goaltending controversy will Flyers fans running scared like Rocky from Clubber Lane. I pity the fools.
Flyers need to play this game tight and don't get into a shooting contest. Be patient and wait for their chances. Above all else, contain the Chicken. Let another player score, if necessary. Just don't let Ovie find the twine.
NEW JERSEY #4 vs. NEW YORK RANGERS #5
PREDICTION : New York in 7 - CONFIDENCE 60%
Is there a way both teams can lose? I can't stand either of these teams. Now that New York plays almost the same boring style the Devils have played for years, I like them even less. This is not the contest you tell your hockey newbie fan to watch. Expect a lot of low scoring games with little back and forth action but some great goaltending. I think we'll see at least 2 overtime games in the series and it wouldn't shock me if we same 4 or more. These teams both play it very close to the vest, play sound defense and have coaches who preach defensive responsibility above all else.
The Rangers have been a tough team to predict during the course of the season. For every two good showings, they'd have one bad one. Although Lundqvist has looked superb most to the season, he had one really bad stretch. They can score 4 or 5 goals one night, then go 6 or 7 games scoring 2 or less. Defense can be sound and then allow Montreal to stage a record comeback. Which team will show up for the series?
The Devils always seem to be in this position. Everyone seems ready to write them off and they put themselves into contention for the cup once again. Management has a way off putting together a collection of no-names and making them play great as a unit. As always, Brodeur is there to save the day in goal when things break down.
New York went out in the offseason and got two players to boost the offense up front. Although Gomez and Drury were nothing special in the regular season, this should be their time to shine. I also believe Jagr will finally wake up as he realizes this just might be his last cup run. In contrast, the Devils don't have much scoring outside Parise and Gionta and that'll be the difference in the series. Expect Drury to score at least one game winner for his highlight reel.
If this game goes to a 7th contest. I want to personally smack the first guy who asks Mr. Messier if he has a prediction.
Next up is the Western Conference. Matchups feature the President's Trophy winner (Detroit), defending Stanley Cup champion (Anaheim) and the hottest team in hockey (San Jose). It might not have the offensive star power of the East but it makes up for it with superb defense, experienced goaltending and physical intimidating play. I don't think there is much doubt that the best teams are in the West. The question is will they beat each other up so much and travel so much that they've got little left for the finals.
DETROIT #1 vs. NASHVILLE #8
PREDICTION : Detroit in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
SAN JOSE #2 vs. CALGARY #7
PREDICTION : San Jose in 6 - CONFIDENCE 85%
MINNESOTA #3 vs. COLORADO #6
PREDICTION : Minnesota in 7 - CONFIDENCE 55%
ANAHEIM #4 vs. DALLAS #5
PREDICTION : Anaheim in 5 - CONFIDENCE 80%
Wednesday, March 19, 2008
Thrashers Game Report - 03/19/08 - Live - Period 3
Shots are even for a change. Its defense and poor goaltending causing the problems tonight.
More nice work in front of the Canes net results in an almost goal. Someone needs to explain to those in attendance that the puck must go all the way across the line.
Am I the only one who finds it strange that Kovy shares a birthday with 5 astronauts.
6:37 left and the thrashers take a penalty. This one is looking bleak.
Hedberg gives up a rebound straight up and Canes bury the biscuit. This one is over. 5-2
Unsure how to handle a lead in shots on goal, the Thrashers take another penalty to correct the stat.
Oooh garbage goal late. Thrashers toot their horn. Only need to more to tie it up. Unfortunately, that ain't going to happen with 25 seconds left.
Game official over. Final score Carolina 5 - Atlanta 3.
About the only thing I like about this game was the Thrashers success with working the puck down low. For a change I saw some bodies in front of the opponents net and some defensemen pinching in. This needs to become a regular part of their offense if they are going to improve next season.
More nice work in front of the Canes net results in an almost goal. Someone needs to explain to those in attendance that the puck must go all the way across the line.
Am I the only one who finds it strange that Kovy shares a birthday with 5 astronauts.
6:37 left and the thrashers take a penalty. This one is looking bleak.
Hedberg gives up a rebound straight up and Canes bury the biscuit. This one is over. 5-2
Unsure how to handle a lead in shots on goal, the Thrashers take another penalty to correct the stat.
Oooh garbage goal late. Thrashers toot their horn. Only need to more to tie it up. Unfortunately, that ain't going to happen with 25 seconds left.
Game official over. Final score Carolina 5 - Atlanta 3.
About the only thing I like about this game was the Thrashers success with working the puck down low. For a change I saw some bodies in front of the opponents net and some defensemen pinching in. This needs to become a regular part of their offense if they are going to improve next season.
Thrashers Game Report - 03/19/08 - Live - Period 2
Now its Maiden DVDs. Moving up in the world!
If Hedberg is in goal for the second period, I might just hit the rails.
Hey Sonny Perdue. I know something we can do to save water. Quit making ice in philip in a couple weeks. Maybe that's the real reason this team is tanking it. Damn water shortage is cutting the season short.
Only positive is Thrashers are getting the puck in low around the Canes net
Down low work and nice cycling pays off. Nice pass by Kozlov and Little bangs him home. 3-1
That didn't take long. Another defensive turnover another soft goal. I beg DW to pull Hedberg. Make eye contact with Kari who just shakes his head. 4-1
Thrashers answer quickly as mcCarthy gets one down low. 4-2
If nothing else all the action wakes the crowd and tires my thumb.
Canes take the first penalty of the game and Thrashers have several near misses but can't take advantage.
Canes turn on the PP. Thrashers kill it to keep it 4-2
If Hedberg is in goal for the second period, I might just hit the rails.
Hey Sonny Perdue. I know something we can do to save water. Quit making ice in philip in a couple weeks. Maybe that's the real reason this team is tanking it. Damn water shortage is cutting the season short.
Only positive is Thrashers are getting the puck in low around the Canes net
Down low work and nice cycling pays off. Nice pass by Kozlov and Little bangs him home. 3-1
That didn't take long. Another defensive turnover another soft goal. I beg DW to pull Hedberg. Make eye contact with Kari who just shakes his head. 4-1
Thrashers answer quickly as mcCarthy gets one down low. 4-2
If nothing else all the action wakes the crowd and tires my thumb.
Canes take the first penalty of the game and Thrashers have several near misses but can't take advantage.
Canes turn on the PP. Thrashers kill it to keep it 4-2
Thrashers Game Report - 03/19/08 - Live - Period 1
a seven year old signs the anthem and they cant even give her a Thrashers jersey?
4 minutes in goal for Canes. Vabolik on ice but he plays in perfect. Breakdown is Kwiatowski and Kozlovs fault.
Vabiolik makes first error and it costs the Thrashers a goal. Bad clearing attempt. Hedberg also failed on both goals. 2-0
Kovys 50th goal is announced but there is barely recognition. Proof the fans are worn out.
More Maiden CDs to giveaway. Shouldn't we send these to the third world instead?
Another defensive turnover and another Canes goal. Larsen takes a good chunk of the blame but Hedberg allows a sortie. Pull him now. Poor Boris caught on ice again. -3 welcome to Blueland Boris. 3-0
Thank goodness the period is over. The Canes can't score for 18 minutes.
4 minutes in goal for Canes. Vabolik on ice but he plays in perfect. Breakdown is Kwiatowski and Kozlovs fault.
Vabiolik makes first error and it costs the Thrashers a goal. Bad clearing attempt. Hedberg also failed on both goals. 2-0
Kovys 50th goal is announced but there is barely recognition. Proof the fans are worn out.
More Maiden CDs to giveaway. Shouldn't we send these to the third world instead?
Another defensive turnover and another Canes goal. Larsen takes a good chunk of the blame but Hedberg allows a sortie. Pull him now. Poor Boris caught on ice again. -3 welcome to Blueland Boris. 3-0
Thank goodness the period is over. The Canes can't score for 18 minutes.
Thrashers Game Report - 03/19/08 - Live - Pre Game
Took Marta down to the game because I was anticipating extra traffic due to tornado cleanup. My first hint that things weren't normal was that the train didn't stop at Peachtree Center. When I finally got off the train I realized why. Dozens of windows from the tall building are no longer there. Additionally, several streets were block off, a fed extra cranes were around and the signage in front of the Philips garage is a twisted mess. Philip Arena itself appears unscathed.
Onto the Thrashers. I don't think I've ever had lower expectations for a game. Its been a long losing season and just about everyone seems to be going through the motions right now including the fans. Since Kovy hasn't given up I'll do my best to do my part. If nothing else perhaps the Thrashers can make the Canes a little nervous about the Caps.
Vabolik makes his pro debut tonight. 6'7" 240 he towers over his teammates. He looked a bit tenative in warmups. I'm guessing he's a bit nervous.
Before games a couple of the displays show Thrasher player notes and stats. Why on earth do they still show last years stats? I'd volunteer my services to keep these a little more up to date. Here's Zhitniks update
Alexei "The Human Pylon" Zhitnik is riding a career high 9 game scratch streak. During this hiatus, he's -8. Available for yardwork, babysitting or dog walking. Contact DW if interested.
Hey there's a "spirit" job fair coming up soon. Is this where I apply for a coaching job?
What is there left to "believe" in? Marketing bet have something new next year. How about "show up at Blueland"
Onto the Thrashers. I don't think I've ever had lower expectations for a game. Its been a long losing season and just about everyone seems to be going through the motions right now including the fans. Since Kovy hasn't given up I'll do my best to do my part. If nothing else perhaps the Thrashers can make the Canes a little nervous about the Caps.
Vabolik makes his pro debut tonight. 6'7" 240 he towers over his teammates. He looked a bit tenative in warmups. I'm guessing he's a bit nervous.
Before games a couple of the displays show Thrasher player notes and stats. Why on earth do they still show last years stats? I'd volunteer my services to keep these a little more up to date. Here's Zhitniks update
Alexei "The Human Pylon" Zhitnik is riding a career high 9 game scratch streak. During this hiatus, he's -8. Available for yardwork, babysitting or dog walking. Contact DW if interested.
Hey there's a "spirit" job fair coming up soon. Is this where I apply for a coaching job?
What is there left to "believe" in? Marketing bet have something new next year. How about "show up at Blueland"
Thursday, March 13, 2008
Thrashers Game Report - 03/13/08 - Live - Period 3
Look more parachuting shirts. My neck hurts!
One of the Thrashers most physical games all season. Too bad they don't play like this every night.
Stop the presses. Atlanta outshooting Calgary 24-23. Direct result of more physical play.
Crowd loves the Kiss Cam. I think it needs to follow Zhitnik out of town. Give away more Maiden CDs.
Thorburn gets open on the wing, uses his great speed and breaks in on net. Great deke and he buries the puck. 4-4!
4 minutes left and Kovalchuk makes an ill-advised no-look pass across the ice at the Thrashers blueline resulting in a turnover. However, Kovy and others are quick to react and retrieve the puck with some hard play in the corner. They move the puck up ice with Kovy carrying it into the Flame's zone. With Calgary players moving toward the dangerous Kovalchuk, Holik gets open up the middle. Kovy nails him with a nice pass and Holik buries the puck from the slot. The crowd erupts as the Thrashers take the 5-4 lead.
A minute remains and the Flames take a penalty. They pull the goalie in a desperate attempt to score but never get possession of the puck. Atlanta wins the faceoff near mid-ice and Kovy is all alone headed towards the empty net. An easy tap-in a hats come raining down on the ice. 3 goals and an assist for the future captain.
Easily one of the best Thrasher games of the season. Although they started out on the short end of the scoresheet, they battled hard all night and were able to overcome it. A fine performance. Makes you wonder where that energy has been all season.
Special props to the couple seated behind me who helped me put the Calgary fans in their place.
Must have been Babes at the Bulb night. There were a ton of gorgeous ladies in the building. Here's hoping the great action brings them back for more.
One of the Thrashers most physical games all season. Too bad they don't play like this every night.
Stop the presses. Atlanta outshooting Calgary 24-23. Direct result of more physical play.
Crowd loves the Kiss Cam. I think it needs to follow Zhitnik out of town. Give away more Maiden CDs.
Thorburn gets open on the wing, uses his great speed and breaks in on net. Great deke and he buries the puck. 4-4!
4 minutes left and Kovalchuk makes an ill-advised no-look pass across the ice at the Thrashers blueline resulting in a turnover. However, Kovy and others are quick to react and retrieve the puck with some hard play in the corner. They move the puck up ice with Kovy carrying it into the Flame's zone. With Calgary players moving toward the dangerous Kovalchuk, Holik gets open up the middle. Kovy nails him with a nice pass and Holik buries the puck from the slot. The crowd erupts as the Thrashers take the 5-4 lead.
A minute remains and the Flames take a penalty. They pull the goalie in a desperate attempt to score but never get possession of the puck. Atlanta wins the faceoff near mid-ice and Kovy is all alone headed towards the empty net. An easy tap-in a hats come raining down on the ice. 3 goals and an assist for the future captain.
Easily one of the best Thrasher games of the season. Although they started out on the short end of the scoresheet, they battled hard all night and were able to overcome it. A fine performance. Makes you wonder where that energy has been all season.
Special props to the couple seated behind me who helped me put the Calgary fans in their place.
Must have been Babes at the Bulb night. There were a ton of gorgeous ladies in the building. Here's hoping the great action brings them back for more.
Thrashers Game Report - 03/13/08 - Live - Period 2
Google is doing maintenance in a few minutes so this may come to an abrupt end.
TWO Iron Maiden CD giveaways. Where on earth did they uncover these ancient relics. Is it Recchi's closet?
Maybe 8000 in the stands tonight.
I swear Thrash has more outfits than me. Tonight its an Irish zoot suit. Not sure who his silver and green buddy is supposed to be.
Thrashers outshot 11-5. No suprise there.
Thrashers take a penalty, kill it but can't clear the puck. Iginla scores and it is 3-0
Nice outlet pass to a wide open Holik results in breakaway. Holik can't put in but Kovy finishes it. 3-1
Quick play off faceoff an Perrin breaks in shoots and Armstrong buries rebound. Suddenly back in it. 3-2. Quiet crowd is suddenly abuzz.
Christensen makes a bad play at the point and calgary puts it past Kari. 4-2
Good hard play by the Thrashers draws a penalty and Kovy gets another one of slapshot goals. Alive at 4-3.
Stat of the period. Dump ins ATL 1 for 6, CGY 4 for 5
TWO Iron Maiden CD giveaways. Where on earth did they uncover these ancient relics. Is it Recchi's closet?
Maybe 8000 in the stands tonight.
I swear Thrash has more outfits than me. Tonight its an Irish zoot suit. Not sure who his silver and green buddy is supposed to be.
Thrashers outshot 11-5. No suprise there.
Thrashers take a penalty, kill it but can't clear the puck. Iginla scores and it is 3-0
Nice outlet pass to a wide open Holik results in breakaway. Holik can't put in but Kovy finishes it. 3-1
Quick play off faceoff an Perrin breaks in shoots and Armstrong buries rebound. Suddenly back in it. 3-2. Quiet crowd is suddenly abuzz.
Christensen makes a bad play at the point and calgary puts it past Kari. 4-2
Good hard play by the Thrashers draws a penalty and Kovy gets another one of slapshot goals. Alive at 4-3.
Stat of the period. Dump ins ATL 1 for 6, CGY 4 for 5
Thrashers Game Report - 03/13/08 - Live - Period 1
Thought I might try something a little different by live blogging comments as the game takes place.
It's just a few minutes before faceoff and the arena is quiet. No more than 2000 intheir seats.
Thrashers are auctioning off their green St. Patricks Day jerseys tonight. Wonder how much for a Zhitnik? Probably about as valuable as a Ross Perot for president bumper sticker.
There are five Calgary fans right in front of me. Maybe I should have worn my Wings jersey. If I don't make it home, blame them.
The guy just to the right of me has a Mike Dunham green jersey. I think that's worse than a Zhitnik.
Less than 3 minutes in Boulton and Bodars square off in nice fight. The keep their throughtout and each lands shots.
Thrashers doing a much better job fighting for pucks
in the corner against a much bigger Calgary team. Still having difficulty transitioning from
defense to offense.
First penalty goes to Calgary. Goaltender interference
Enstrom has bad turnover at the blueline resulting in easy goal for Calgary
Shot from the point finds Iginla alone in front of net. Nice tip in goal.
It's just a few minutes before faceoff and the arena is quiet. No more than 2000 intheir seats.
Thrashers are auctioning off their green St. Patricks Day jerseys tonight. Wonder how much for a Zhitnik? Probably about as valuable as a Ross Perot for president bumper sticker.
There are five Calgary fans right in front of me. Maybe I should have worn my Wings jersey. If I don't make it home, blame them.
The guy just to the right of me has a Mike Dunham green jersey. I think that's worse than a Zhitnik.
Less than 3 minutes in Boulton and Bodars square off in nice fight. The keep their throughtout and each lands shots.
Thrashers doing a much better job fighting for pucks
in the corner against a much bigger Calgary team. Still having difficulty transitioning from
defense to offense.
First penalty goes to Calgary. Goaltender interference
Enstrom has bad turnover at the blueline resulting in easy goal for Calgary
Shot from the point finds Iginla alone in front of net. Nice tip in goal.
Thursday, March 6, 2008
Tear Down the Walls
Not actually the walls, but the wallpaper.
From the moment I first saw my house, I absolutely hated the wallpaper in the master bathroom. I knew one day I'd get rid of it. Well, the moment has finally arrived. I have a bit of free time while I wait for the warmer weather necessary to continue with my pinball restoration so I figured I could fill it with some home improvement. The master bathroom was at the top of the list.
Here's what I was starting with. Awfully ugly in my opinion.
Some perforation, wallpaper remover and patience removed this layer of wallpaper to discover and even uglier blue wallpaper.
More perforation, more remover and even more patience finally gets me to the drywall.
Next up I'll have to repair any damage to the drywall before proceeding. Then, I can paint it. I'll update after the next stage is complete.
Friday, February 29, 2008
Thrashers Game Report - 02/28/08
Islanders 5 - Thrashers 4 OT
There are so many ways to look at this game. It was a critical game for both teams fighting for their playoff lives. It was the first home game for the Thrashers since the trade deadline and the blockbuster deal that sent Hossa and Dupois to Pittsburgh in exchange for Armstrong, Christensen, Esposito and a first round draft pick. Armstrong and Christensen were making their Thrasher's debut. But in this contest, at least, little else has changed.
Before I move on to the game, some observations about the new players I noticed during warm ups:
Armstrong - I don't think there is whiter guy in the NHL. In a league full of pasty white Canadians and Scandinavians, this guy stands out. Maybe when the rest of the team hits the golf links in a few weeks, Colby can get a bit of sun so the arena lights don't reflect off of him and burn my eyes. He's also incredibly thin. Officially listed at 188lbs, I've got to wonder if he really weighs more than 170 soaking wet. I've seen WWII POWs who looked healthier. It's hard to believe this guy is the same one who delivered all those big hits I've seen on YouTube. Armstrong also looks incredibly young making this observer feel that much older.
Christensen - He's a big body with great hands. He's got a wrist shot that is among the quickest in game and some decent foot work to go along with it. His shoot accuracy needs a bit of work. Like Armstrong, he looks very young.
I did my best to watch this game a little differently. With all the problems the Thrashers have had on defense, I wanted to focus on this area. Instead of watching the puck, I watched defensive positioning, communication and breakout actions. What I saw wasn't pretty.
On a positive note, the Thrashers do have a lot of defensively sound forwards. Rarely were the breakdowns caused by a forward overplaying the puck or making an ill-advised pass. Only Kovalchuk really stood out as a forward with a weak defensive game. That shouldn't come as a huge surprise and it is one I'm more than willing to tolerate as he's far and away the Thrashers best offensive threat. Holik also had a weak defensive game getting himself out of position on more than one occasion. Perrin and Armstrong look especially sound defensively.
The other side of the equation was really ugly and the scoreboard showed it as the Isles jumped out to a 3-0 lead. Each of the Thrashers defensemen deserves a separate comment, some deserve a caning and one deserves his walking papers.
Exelby - 4 WHIPS - He had a horrendous game and continues his backward trend. After showing some promise last year, X hasn't grown at all this season. While he continues to deliver the occasional hard hit, he finds himself out of position way too often. His play last night led directly to two easy Islander goals. He's stuck somewhere between a defensive and offensive defenseman and it shows in his game. His decisions with the puck are just as bad as with his feet.
Klee - 2 WHIPS - Another inconsistent game from a player that was supposed to bring some consistent play to the blueline. For most of the game Klee was one of the better defenders on the ice but his poor pass that resulted in the OT winner for Islanders was one of a couple of miscues that cost the Thrashers dearly. His slow foot speed is his biggest culprit. Klee's lone saving grace was that he netted his first goal of the season.
Kwiatowski - 2 WHIPS - Making a rare start for the Thrashers, this 30 year old defenseman didn't do much to keep himself in the lineup. He looked lost on more than one occasion and couldn't find an outlet pass to save his life.
Havelid - Best defenseman on the night. I didn't see any major miscues by him although it looked like he could have help out Enstrom a bit more. His stats were the worst (-3) but the breakdowns were more his partner on this night.
Enstrom - 4 WHIPS - One of Enstrom's worst nights. The rook has played extremely well for the Thrashers but this just wasn't his night. Two of his breakdowns directly resulted in pucks in the Thrashers net. He also had more trouble than usual carrying the puck out of the Thrashers zone.
Zhitnik - WALKING PAPERS - Oooh look at the score sheet. He scored a goal and registered a +2. Stats be damned. First, I'm taking credit for the Zhitnik goal. Earlier in the game, Zhitnik failed to pinch in the offensive zone on a great opportunity. Not letting this go unrecognized, I yelled "pinch damnit!". Zhitnik looked up, took a step forward and realized he missed the opportunity. So, later when presented with opportunity again, Zhitnik actually did step up and scored the goal. I'm still waiting to hear if I'm in consideration for the coaching position. Defensively, Zhitnik was his usual horrible self. Constantly out of position, his play led to multiple scoring opportunities. He's so slow to the puck that I swear he leaves a trail of slime on the ice. One terrible breakdown left him with no option but to commit a penalty. I could tolerate this if it was only occasionally, he was young or he wasn't being paid $4 million a year. Right now he's just taking up a spot that could be used to develop another player for the future. 3 goals on the season is not about to make me overlook his defensive deficiencies.
As you can probably tell, I'm genuinely disgusted with the Thrashers defense. While I applaud them for doing an overhaul prior to this season, I'm a bit depressed we've seen no overall improvement as a result. Looks like we are in for another overhaul as only Enstrom and Havelid are worth keeping around.
Back to the game.
After the Thrashers terrible defensive start that resulted in a far too easy 3-0 deficit, things got turned around in the second period. A great defensive play by Perrin, shorthanded, resulted in clear breakaway. The Islanders had no response but to haul him down, resulting in a penalty shot. Perrin made a nice stick move and out duel DiPietro to get the Thrashers on the board. I couldn't help but think that the gimmicky OT shootout took a little of the drama away from the penalty shot. This goal spark the Thrashers and within 12 minutes they had tied the game at 3. Considering the D had only scored 10 goals all season, it was a rarity to see to D goals. One, by Klee was a nice setup by Armstrong & Perrin. The other was the Zhitnik goal with my assist from section 106.
Just when everyone was feeling good, the Thrashers defense failed again and Comrie put the Islanders up 4-3 with another easy goal early in the 3rd. All seemed just about lost when Holik threw a light shot towards net with under 2 minutes to play. DiPietro somehow managed to miss it and the Thrashers found their way to OT with a 4-4 tie.
Things were not going to go the Thrashers way this night as yet another defensive breakdown off a faceoff gave the Islanders and excellent chance that they cashed in and sent the masses headed to the exit with a 5-4 loss.
Its easy to say the Thrashers didn't give up and fought their way back from 3-0 and 4-3 deficits to earn a point. But the reality is their defense let them down again and kept them from getting the valuable extra point.
A few other notes from the game:
- The arena was actually much fuller than expected for a middle of the week game against a relatively weak opponent. However, there was absolutely zero buzz in the building until the penalty shot. Of course, the Thrashers gave them little reason to cheer.
- Good reception for the new additions. Armstrong did get in one really good hit and played a sound game all-around logging time on the penalty kill as well. Christensen look pretty good too seeing time on the top power play unit. For now both these players are playing with Perrin and that was the most effective line of the night.
- Kovy was surrounded all night and had few opportunities. He did have two nice checks though and went to the net a little more. Both of these are things I like to see him do more of. He has these skills but doesn't use them much.
- I got more than my fair share of French yelled in my ear. At least it was passionate hockey fans instead of someone talking about their latest cell phone, their favorite American Idol contestant or their cute little dog. Apparently "SHOOT" is universal. I wonder how you say "Zhitnik you suck" in French or better yet Russian!
There are so many ways to look at this game. It was a critical game for both teams fighting for their playoff lives. It was the first home game for the Thrashers since the trade deadline and the blockbuster deal that sent Hossa and Dupois to Pittsburgh in exchange for Armstrong, Christensen, Esposito and a first round draft pick. Armstrong and Christensen were making their Thrasher's debut. But in this contest, at least, little else has changed.
Before I move on to the game, some observations about the new players I noticed during warm ups:
Armstrong - I don't think there is whiter guy in the NHL. In a league full of pasty white Canadians and Scandinavians, this guy stands out. Maybe when the rest of the team hits the golf links in a few weeks, Colby can get a bit of sun so the arena lights don't reflect off of him and burn my eyes. He's also incredibly thin. Officially listed at 188lbs, I've got to wonder if he really weighs more than 170 soaking wet. I've seen WWII POWs who looked healthier. It's hard to believe this guy is the same one who delivered all those big hits I've seen on YouTube. Armstrong also looks incredibly young making this observer feel that much older.
Christensen - He's a big body with great hands. He's got a wrist shot that is among the quickest in game and some decent foot work to go along with it. His shoot accuracy needs a bit of work. Like Armstrong, he looks very young.
I did my best to watch this game a little differently. With all the problems the Thrashers have had on defense, I wanted to focus on this area. Instead of watching the puck, I watched defensive positioning, communication and breakout actions. What I saw wasn't pretty.
On a positive note, the Thrashers do have a lot of defensively sound forwards. Rarely were the breakdowns caused by a forward overplaying the puck or making an ill-advised pass. Only Kovalchuk really stood out as a forward with a weak defensive game. That shouldn't come as a huge surprise and it is one I'm more than willing to tolerate as he's far and away the Thrashers best offensive threat. Holik also had a weak defensive game getting himself out of position on more than one occasion. Perrin and Armstrong look especially sound defensively.
The other side of the equation was really ugly and the scoreboard showed it as the Isles jumped out to a 3-0 lead. Each of the Thrashers defensemen deserves a separate comment, some deserve a caning and one deserves his walking papers.
Exelby - 4 WHIPS - He had a horrendous game and continues his backward trend. After showing some promise last year, X hasn't grown at all this season. While he continues to deliver the occasional hard hit, he finds himself out of position way too often. His play last night led directly to two easy Islander goals. He's stuck somewhere between a defensive and offensive defenseman and it shows in his game. His decisions with the puck are just as bad as with his feet.
Klee - 2 WHIPS - Another inconsistent game from a player that was supposed to bring some consistent play to the blueline. For most of the game Klee was one of the better defenders on the ice but his poor pass that resulted in the OT winner for Islanders was one of a couple of miscues that cost the Thrashers dearly. His slow foot speed is his biggest culprit. Klee's lone saving grace was that he netted his first goal of the season.
Kwiatowski - 2 WHIPS - Making a rare start for the Thrashers, this 30 year old defenseman didn't do much to keep himself in the lineup. He looked lost on more than one occasion and couldn't find an outlet pass to save his life.
Havelid - Best defenseman on the night. I didn't see any major miscues by him although it looked like he could have help out Enstrom a bit more. His stats were the worst (-3) but the breakdowns were more his partner on this night.
Enstrom - 4 WHIPS - One of Enstrom's worst nights. The rook has played extremely well for the Thrashers but this just wasn't his night. Two of his breakdowns directly resulted in pucks in the Thrashers net. He also had more trouble than usual carrying the puck out of the Thrashers zone.
Zhitnik - WALKING PAPERS - Oooh look at the score sheet. He scored a goal and registered a +2. Stats be damned. First, I'm taking credit for the Zhitnik goal. Earlier in the game, Zhitnik failed to pinch in the offensive zone on a great opportunity. Not letting this go unrecognized, I yelled "pinch damnit!". Zhitnik looked up, took a step forward and realized he missed the opportunity. So, later when presented with opportunity again, Zhitnik actually did step up and scored the goal. I'm still waiting to hear if I'm in consideration for the coaching position. Defensively, Zhitnik was his usual horrible self. Constantly out of position, his play led to multiple scoring opportunities. He's so slow to the puck that I swear he leaves a trail of slime on the ice. One terrible breakdown left him with no option but to commit a penalty. I could tolerate this if it was only occasionally, he was young or he wasn't being paid $4 million a year. Right now he's just taking up a spot that could be used to develop another player for the future. 3 goals on the season is not about to make me overlook his defensive deficiencies.
As you can probably tell, I'm genuinely disgusted with the Thrashers defense. While I applaud them for doing an overhaul prior to this season, I'm a bit depressed we've seen no overall improvement as a result. Looks like we are in for another overhaul as only Enstrom and Havelid are worth keeping around.
Back to the game.
After the Thrashers terrible defensive start that resulted in a far too easy 3-0 deficit, things got turned around in the second period. A great defensive play by Perrin, shorthanded, resulted in clear breakaway. The Islanders had no response but to haul him down, resulting in a penalty shot. Perrin made a nice stick move and out duel DiPietro to get the Thrashers on the board. I couldn't help but think that the gimmicky OT shootout took a little of the drama away from the penalty shot. This goal spark the Thrashers and within 12 minutes they had tied the game at 3. Considering the D had only scored 10 goals all season, it was a rarity to see to D goals. One, by Klee was a nice setup by Armstrong & Perrin. The other was the Zhitnik goal with my assist from section 106.
Just when everyone was feeling good, the Thrashers defense failed again and Comrie put the Islanders up 4-3 with another easy goal early in the 3rd. All seemed just about lost when Holik threw a light shot towards net with under 2 minutes to play. DiPietro somehow managed to miss it and the Thrashers found their way to OT with a 4-4 tie.
Things were not going to go the Thrashers way this night as yet another defensive breakdown off a faceoff gave the Islanders and excellent chance that they cashed in and sent the masses headed to the exit with a 5-4 loss.
Its easy to say the Thrashers didn't give up and fought their way back from 3-0 and 4-3 deficits to earn a point. But the reality is their defense let them down again and kept them from getting the valuable extra point.
A few other notes from the game:
- The arena was actually much fuller than expected for a middle of the week game against a relatively weak opponent. However, there was absolutely zero buzz in the building until the penalty shot. Of course, the Thrashers gave them little reason to cheer.
- Good reception for the new additions. Armstrong did get in one really good hit and played a sound game all-around logging time on the penalty kill as well. Christensen look pretty good too seeing time on the top power play unit. For now both these players are playing with Perrin and that was the most effective line of the night.
- Kovy was surrounded all night and had few opportunities. He did have two nice checks though and went to the net a little more. Both of these are things I like to see him do more of. He has these skills but doesn't use them much.
- I got more than my fair share of French yelled in my ear. At least it was passionate hockey fans instead of someone talking about their latest cell phone, their favorite American Idol contestant or their cute little dog. Apparently "SHOOT" is universal. I wonder how you say "Zhitnik you suck" in French or better yet Russian!
Thursday, February 14, 2008
Thrashers Game Report - 02/13/08
Atlanta 3 - Washington 2 SO
My point of view for this particular contest was a little different than normal. I was seated in section 114, row D, seat 11 to be specific. This particular seat was just behind and to the right of the Thrashers bench, up against the railing overlooking the pathway towards the Thrashers' locker room. While I wouldn't want to have season tickets in this particular seat because some sight lines are blocked by multiple layers of glass, I did enjoy the different perspective on the game.
The best thing about this location was that part of my view was completely open. No glass and no barriers. I wear glasses so much I'm used to looking through a layer of glass. Taking away the additional layer at a game is like cleaning off my dirty glasses. Everything just looked sharper and more vibrant. Of course, I did have to keep my heads up for pucks and even an occassional stick as a player leaned back to avoid action near the bench.
Another great thing about this seat was getting to see the action on the bench. What was most fascinating was the line changes. Damn they happen fast and there is a lot of communication when they take place on the fly. Its understanding why they are such a critical component of the game. I'd never realized how shifty the teams get when icing the puck, trying to sneak a line change in just as the puck is tossed down the ice. Since NHL rules prohibit a line change by the team icing the puck, it was funny to see how many changes actually go unnoticed. I had many opportunies as the Thrashers iced the puck way too many times during the contest.
A couple last observations from the bench before moving on to the game. In this particular game there was little coaching or talking going on from the bench. The defenders or the Hossa-Perrin-Kozlov line would have brief discussions but not much else. One Thrasher in addition to the backup goalie is forced to sit on a wooden stool. Apparenly the bench isn't wide enough or wasn't this night. There are 3 different equipment guys who spend a majority of their time acting as towel boys and the area smelled the part. Players and coaches reacted differently to a few key plays than did the fans. On the disallowed goal there was hardly a peep from the bench. When Ovechkin scored a tying goal with about a minute left, the Capitals skated over and celebrated in front of the Thrashers bench. This pissed me off to no end. The Thrasher players barely reacted other than their disgust for allowing the goal. Now on to the game.
My point of view for this particular contest was a little different than normal. I was seated in section 114, row D, seat 11 to be specific. This particular seat was just behind and to the right of the Thrashers bench, up against the railing overlooking the pathway towards the Thrashers' locker room. While I wouldn't want to have season tickets in this particular seat because some sight lines are blocked by multiple layers of glass, I did enjoy the different perspective on the game.
The best thing about this location was that part of my view was completely open. No glass and no barriers. I wear glasses so much I'm used to looking through a layer of glass. Taking away the additional layer at a game is like cleaning off my dirty glasses. Everything just looked sharper and more vibrant. Of course, I did have to keep my heads up for pucks and even an occassional stick as a player leaned back to avoid action near the bench.
Another great thing about this seat was getting to see the action on the bench. What was most fascinating was the line changes. Damn they happen fast and there is a lot of communication when they take place on the fly. Its understanding why they are such a critical component of the game. I'd never realized how shifty the teams get when icing the puck, trying to sneak a line change in just as the puck is tossed down the ice. Since NHL rules prohibit a line change by the team icing the puck, it was funny to see how many changes actually go unnoticed. I had many opportunies as the Thrashers iced the puck way too many times during the contest.
A couple last observations from the bench before moving on to the game. In this particular game there was little coaching or talking going on from the bench. The defenders or the Hossa-Perrin-Kozlov line would have brief discussions but not much else. One Thrasher in addition to the backup goalie is forced to sit on a wooden stool. Apparenly the bench isn't wide enough or wasn't this night. There are 3 different equipment guys who spend a majority of their time acting as towel boys and the area smelled the part. Players and coaches reacted differently to a few key plays than did the fans. On the disallowed goal there was hardly a peep from the bench. When Ovechkin scored a tying goal with about a minute left, the Capitals skated over and celebrated in front of the Thrashers bench. This pissed me off to no end. The Thrasher players barely reacted other than their disgust for allowing the goal. Now on to the game.
The Thrashers played poorly in the opening period. Washington controlled the tempo and the puck spending a majority of time in the Thrashers' zone. The Thrashers lacked the speed, positioning and checking necessary to get the puck away from the much more active Capitals. If it wasn't for the superb play of Lehtonen in net, this game would have been over early. Instead the Thrashers escape the first period with a scoreless tie.
The scoreless tie didn't last long as the Caps got on the board early in the 2nd. Once again the Thrashers allowed Ovechkin too much room to work and he found Victor Kozlov for a relatively easy goal.
Shortly after the Caps goal, it look like the Thrashers had tied it. Some nice down low work by the Kozlv-Perrin-Hossa line resulted in the puck in the net off Perrin's skate. Unfortunately, the group in Toronto said it as a kick-in and the goal was disallowed. However, this event seemed to serve as catalyst to get the team going. They were much more agressive and that same line came through once again as Hossa made a great pass to Perrin who netted his 10th of the season. A few short minutes later, Lehtonen made a beautiful pass to a wide open Hossa for a breakaway he whipped past Kolzig for the 2-1 lead. Hossa skated the length of the ice to congradulate Kari on the nice pass.
The third period was a much more defensive affair with limited chances by both sides. Apprently my shouts to "watch the chicken" weren't enough as Klee allowed Ovechkin too much space once again and he slapped it into the net, past Kari, with just over a minute remaining. UGH!!!!
OT was pretty exciting with both teams getting quality scoring chances. The goalies stood tall. Every time Ovechkin got near the puck I got nervous. When the clock hit zero my usual sense of disgust about the pending shootout took over. Perrin made a great move to score first, Semin missed the net, Kozlov burried his attempt and Kari shutdown Gordon. Much to my relief we didn't have to see Ovechkin in the shootout. IMHO, it was a major blunder by the Washington staff not to have him as one of the first two shooters. Thank you.
It was a much needed win for the Thrashers. It was very unfortune they allowed Washington to steal a point in the 90 seconds. Now we have three way tie for first in the Southeast division. I went to this game figuring it was probably my last chance to see Hossa and possibly Holik, Recchi and more. Hossa didn't disappoint having a great game overall. Perrin and Kari also had very good games. I don't think there is a player to single out for a bad game as most of them played pretty poor in the early going. However, my closer to the ice perspective certainly didn't improve my rating of Zhitnik. He looked terribly slow out there and continued to have difficulty staying in good position.
Next up the Thrashers head out on a difficult 5 game road trip. They won't return until after the trade deadline. Just how different will the team be the next time I see them?
Wednesday, February 6, 2008
New Kitchen Table, Chairs and Rug
Ooooh exciting. New furniture.
Actually, I am excited. Moreso to get rid of the old furniture. It served it purpose for many a meal but it was showing way to many signs of wear and tear to take up space any longer. Old with old in with the new.
Without further ado I present to you my new kitchen table and chairs from Room & Board and my new rug from Rugs USA.
Actually, I am excited. Moreso to get rid of the old furniture. It served it purpose for many a meal but it was showing way to many signs of wear and tear to take up space any longer. Old with old in with the new.
Without further ado I present to you my new kitchen table and chairs from Room & Board and my new rug from Rugs USA.
Thursday, January 31, 2008
NHL All Star Weekend 2008
I'd been waiting an awful long time to attend this event. After Atlanta missed out on hosting the 2005 All Star Game due to the NHL lockout, we finally had our chance to host it once again this past weekend.
Things started off early on Saturday. Crimson and I arrived downtown about 11:30AM to spend the afternoon checking out the extras the NHL had planned. First up was a failed attempt to browse official All Star merchandise. We couldn't get into the arena store because an early (9AM) Rock n Skate event had the arena and it was closed off to the general public. We'd just have to delay that until later. Next we headed towards the "NHL Memorabilia" area. This was one of the bigger dissapointments of the weekend as it was very small consisting of about 18 small booths. Although they had interesting merchandise, there simply wasn't enough to occupy us for very long. I've seen bigger card shows at local malls. At least the NHL did have the Stanley Cup on hand for pictures. However, since I already had that picture from the Hockey Hall of Fame in Toronto, we passed. Also, some NHL Alumni were on hand for signings but since I'd seen all those guys 2 days earlier at a local bar, it didn't grab my interest. Instead, we waited in line for about 45 minutes for Erik Johnson to sign autographs. It was unfortunate the NHL couldn't get more All Stars or past players to do some more organzied signings.
It might appear at this point that the weekend was a less than stellar experience. Nothing could be further from the truth. My initial gripes were fairly minor and the best was yet to come.
After eating a quick lunch at Chick-Fil-A, we decided to check out the back side of the arena and the area where the red carpet meet-and-greet was to take place later in the afternoon. When we did this we discovered alternate arena access to a store selling All Star merchandise. After a bit of debate, I laid down the credit card and got us both Ilya Kovalchuk All Star jerseys and Crimson an All Star hat. Earlier I had found myself a program and pennant. Continuing from the store, we found the red carpet area and got a feel from where we'd hang out. People were already lining up more than 2 hours in advance of player arrival. We'd wait a little longer before standing in the cold and headed back to the car to deposit some of our goods and change jerseys.
After roaming for a bit more, we headed back to red carpet area to wait on the players. Although we weren't positioned immediately next to the railing, we were only a person or two back. After getting several good pictures of all the mascots, the players began to arrive. Just above every player took a great deal of time signing autograpghs for the large gathering of fans. Crimson was very successful getting about a dozen autographs on her new hat. I was lucky enough to get Chris Osgood and Pavel Datsyuk to sign my Red Wings cap.
With the red carpet festivities over and the Super Skills competition not far off, we headed into the arena for a bite to eat before the ceremonies began. The skills competition was very entertaining. Our seats were great, located on the lower level directly behind one of the goals about 20 rows up. Some of the events were new or retooled this year, most for the better. Many events were better in person although a few required a glance at the big screen to really appreciate the fine motor skills envolved. My personal highlights included Pavel Datsyuk going 4 for 4 on the saucer pass portion of the obstacle course, Kaberle's 4 for 4 on the accuracy competition, the Young Guns game featuring Atlanta's own Tobias Enstrom and the breakway challenge where shooters were encouraged to be creative on breakways against only a goalie. Alexander Ovechkin stole the show from hometown favorite Kovalchuk by attempting to lift the puck in the air, spin in a circle and bat it into the net. A very entertaining way to end a great event and day.
Saturday was only half the fun. Sunday night was the actual All Star Game. We made certain to get there early with camera in hand for the warmup skate and I got several great pictures. All Star Games are always different than regular season contests. As expected, players do everything possible to protect their health for the real season and the playoffs. There is little to no checking, slapshots are avoided, and stick work is reduced to puck handling. Because of this, there is little defense and goalies are hung out to dry. Players will overlook the open long range shot to pass the puck another time in hopes of the pretty pass-pass-pass tap in. That doesn't mean the event is not entertaining. It simply means it is different.
This game actually turned out to be very entertaining. The Western Conference scored first, just 12 seconds in when Rick Nash put the puck in the net. The remainder of the first period was all Eastern Conference with team rattling of 5 straight goals to take a 5-1 lead. Tables turned a bit in the second as the East was held pointless and the West put up a pair to narrow the lead to 5-3. When the third period began the West continued to dominate, eventually tying it 5 minutes in and taking the lead 7-6 with just 9 minutes left. The East managed to respond though, tying the game a couple minutes later. Just when we all thought the game was headed to overtime, former Thrasher, Marc Savard put the game winner in for the East with 20.6 seconds left on the clock. A fantastic finish.
The crowd was very appreciative and cheered hometown boys, Kovalchuk and Hossa every bit of the way. Hossa managed to score one goal to the delight of the fans. Although Kovy didn't get a goal, he certainly had his chances and had an assist on the winning goal. Here's hoping Atlanta's enthusiasm at the event will convince a NHL fan or two outside Atlanta that there are plenty of people here who love hockey.
Below are pictures primarily from the red carpet on Saturday and during warmups Sunday night.
Things started off early on Saturday. Crimson and I arrived downtown about 11:30AM to spend the afternoon checking out the extras the NHL had planned. First up was a failed attempt to browse official All Star merchandise. We couldn't get into the arena store because an early (9AM) Rock n Skate event had the arena and it was closed off to the general public. We'd just have to delay that until later. Next we headed towards the "NHL Memorabilia" area. This was one of the bigger dissapointments of the weekend as it was very small consisting of about 18 small booths. Although they had interesting merchandise, there simply wasn't enough to occupy us for very long. I've seen bigger card shows at local malls. At least the NHL did have the Stanley Cup on hand for pictures. However, since I already had that picture from the Hockey Hall of Fame in Toronto, we passed. Also, some NHL Alumni were on hand for signings but since I'd seen all those guys 2 days earlier at a local bar, it didn't grab my interest. Instead, we waited in line for about 45 minutes for Erik Johnson to sign autographs. It was unfortunate the NHL couldn't get more All Stars or past players to do some more organzied signings.
It might appear at this point that the weekend was a less than stellar experience. Nothing could be further from the truth. My initial gripes were fairly minor and the best was yet to come.
After eating a quick lunch at Chick-Fil-A, we decided to check out the back side of the arena and the area where the red carpet meet-and-greet was to take place later in the afternoon. When we did this we discovered alternate arena access to a store selling All Star merchandise. After a bit of debate, I laid down the credit card and got us both Ilya Kovalchuk All Star jerseys and Crimson an All Star hat. Earlier I had found myself a program and pennant. Continuing from the store, we found the red carpet area and got a feel from where we'd hang out. People were already lining up more than 2 hours in advance of player arrival. We'd wait a little longer before standing in the cold and headed back to the car to deposit some of our goods and change jerseys.
After roaming for a bit more, we headed back to red carpet area to wait on the players. Although we weren't positioned immediately next to the railing, we were only a person or two back. After getting several good pictures of all the mascots, the players began to arrive. Just above every player took a great deal of time signing autograpghs for the large gathering of fans. Crimson was very successful getting about a dozen autographs on her new hat. I was lucky enough to get Chris Osgood and Pavel Datsyuk to sign my Red Wings cap.
With the red carpet festivities over and the Super Skills competition not far off, we headed into the arena for a bite to eat before the ceremonies began. The skills competition was very entertaining. Our seats were great, located on the lower level directly behind one of the goals about 20 rows up. Some of the events were new or retooled this year, most for the better. Many events were better in person although a few required a glance at the big screen to really appreciate the fine motor skills envolved. My personal highlights included Pavel Datsyuk going 4 for 4 on the saucer pass portion of the obstacle course, Kaberle's 4 for 4 on the accuracy competition, the Young Guns game featuring Atlanta's own Tobias Enstrom and the breakway challenge where shooters were encouraged to be creative on breakways against only a goalie. Alexander Ovechkin stole the show from hometown favorite Kovalchuk by attempting to lift the puck in the air, spin in a circle and bat it into the net. A very entertaining way to end a great event and day.
Saturday was only half the fun. Sunday night was the actual All Star Game. We made certain to get there early with camera in hand for the warmup skate and I got several great pictures. All Star Games are always different than regular season contests. As expected, players do everything possible to protect their health for the real season and the playoffs. There is little to no checking, slapshots are avoided, and stick work is reduced to puck handling. Because of this, there is little defense and goalies are hung out to dry. Players will overlook the open long range shot to pass the puck another time in hopes of the pretty pass-pass-pass tap in. That doesn't mean the event is not entertaining. It simply means it is different.
This game actually turned out to be very entertaining. The Western Conference scored first, just 12 seconds in when Rick Nash put the puck in the net. The remainder of the first period was all Eastern Conference with team rattling of 5 straight goals to take a 5-1 lead. Tables turned a bit in the second as the East was held pointless and the West put up a pair to narrow the lead to 5-3. When the third period began the West continued to dominate, eventually tying it 5 minutes in and taking the lead 7-6 with just 9 minutes left. The East managed to respond though, tying the game a couple minutes later. Just when we all thought the game was headed to overtime, former Thrasher, Marc Savard put the game winner in for the East with 20.6 seconds left on the clock. A fantastic finish.
The crowd was very appreciative and cheered hometown boys, Kovalchuk and Hossa every bit of the way. Hossa managed to score one goal to the delight of the fans. Although Kovy didn't get a goal, he certainly had his chances and had an assist on the winning goal. Here's hoping Atlanta's enthusiasm at the event will convince a NHL fan or two outside Atlanta that there are plenty of people here who love hockey.
Below are pictures primarily from the red carpet on Saturday and during warmups Sunday night.
Tuesday, January 29, 2008
NHL Alumni are in the Hood
When I first heard that several legendary NHL Alumni were making a pre All Star game appearance at a bar, TJ's, only a couple miles from my house, I was pretty excited. Later, when I heard they wouldn't be doing autographs, my interest waned a bit. However, I still figured it was worth taking the half day off of work just to get a chance to meet and greet some hockey legends.
Boy did I make the right decision. The event was much more than I expected. Fortunately, we arrived early enough to get ourselves some good seats, grab some grub and a beer and await their arrival. It wasn't long before the players started filtering in.
Among the former players in attendance were Gordie Howe, Ted Lindsey, Bobby Hull, Dave Schultz, Frank Mahovlich, Johnny Bower, Clark Gillies, Rob Ray, Scott Mellanby, Tony Esposito, Willi Plett, Eric Vail, Kurt Walker, Bob Clarke, Jason Zent, Mark Napier, Tim Ecclestone (owner of the bar), Colin Patterson and Scott Pearson.
Things quickly got out of hand as people ignored the "no autographs" guidelines and showed no shame it going after what they "had to have". To their credit, many of the players were very accomodating, signing despite the warnings. We laid back and waited for the masses to depart and kindly approached a few who were more than willing to sign an item, take a photo or even have a short discussion. Bobby Hull must get special mention as he spent in inordinate amount of time signing and talking to everyone who wanted to.
The main reason the players were there was to announce their new non-profit wine. They did a nice photo op for it and I got several nice pics. However, the highlight for me had to be the giveaways. I was lucky enough to be chosen for one of the autographed jerseys they gave away. A true treat with so many hall of famer autographs on a piece of memorabilia. It didn't take long for a couple of guests to try buying it off my back. No sale for this fan. This event will be the only time I wear the jersey as a frame is order as I type.
The following are some of the better pictures from this event.
Clarke Gilles treated guests who remained for the duration by singing "The Gambler".
Saturday, January 19, 2008
Snowlanta
That's right, it does snow in the deep South from time to time. In fact, we got two different storms in the last week. The first dropped about 2 inches Wednesday night. Most of it was gone by Thursday morning as the snow turned to rain. Today, it snowed really hard for about 2 hours and we picked up close to 3 inches. Looks like this one may stick a little while longer as it is supposed to be pretty cold tonight and tomorrow. Crimson and I had a good time playing in the snow. The consistency was perfect for snowballs and snowmen and we were determined to out do the neighbors across the street.
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